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  • 1

    投资的四项原则

    2007年至2009年全球金融危机后,人们对投资充满疑虑。从伯尼·麦道夫(Bernie Madoff)的惊天骗局,到2007年、2008年的次级抵押贷款危机,以及“安全”债券的收益不足,似乎为家庭未来规划的投资项目在经济中成为管理或者监管最失败的领域。但是,在随后的几年中,股市出现新高,融资价格居高不下,很多产业的信用不良与运作缺陷受到惩治和矫正,停滞不前的

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  • 2

    本书的结构框架

    未知 本书的结构框架 本书的结构安排兼顾了年代顺序和主题。全书始于对古代投资的描述和叙述,然后延续至当前的发展。然而,关于历史发展的内容主要围绕投资民主化这一中心主题展开。在1600年至1900年这个跨度为300年的时期,投资从一种完全造福于权力精英阶层的活动演变为囊括并符合商人、企业主、实业家和生意人等中产阶级利益的活动。 为了理解投资民主化的历史意义,必

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  • 3

    农业用地和所有权

    本书十分生动地描述了投资民主化的历史变迁。简单来看,投资民主化意味着发达社会中存在很大比例的人群能够参与企业投资。而社会中所发生的数项重大变革推动了这一进程,诸如现代公司制和公共市场催生了集体所有制,工业革命后投资剩余日渐增加,养老概念的发展激发中人们对储蓄的需求,日益完善的监管环境有助于市场的公平竞争,经济政策的变革为市场失败提供了优化的安全网。 本章主要

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  • 4

    贷款和利息

    未知 贷款和利息 由于农业与贸易的不断发展,贷款也随之产生。当时,很多富人和权贵或公开或隐蔽地接受并使用贷款,但贷款在整体社会中的接受度一般。大部分贷款用于修建房屋、土地融资以及个人消费,而并非用于生产或者投资。尽管精英阶层通常也直接使用大额个人贷款,但银行家乐于提供的大规模贷款在社会中的接受程度仍然较低。虽然有了精英阶层对贷款的支持,但贷款的推广普及依旧需

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  • 5

    高利贷

    未知 高利贷 世界各国对投资和高利贷的认知 纵观整个古代经济史,宗教、道德和伦理是古代社会投资中最为看重的要素。这并不代表着当时财产所有者、投资人和商人的行为要比21世纪更加高尚。而是说,宗教的行为规范,有时虽然与经济上的最佳策略并不匹配,却是古代文明中经济行为所倡导的典范。譬如,借贷行为通常受道德理念约束,有时甚至不产生经济回报。我们随后会分析发现,对放款

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  • 6

    贸易与商业

    未知 贸易与商业 在历史上,贸易一直是古代社会三大主要投资模式中风险最大的类型,特别是对于长距离贸易以及海上贸易而言,其风险更为突出。贸易可能会带来高回报,但是也同样面临巨大的损失风险。此外,与商品手工制作类似,开展贸易活动的主体主要是非专业的下层阶级,尽管精英阶层可能对海上贸易开展投资,但他们很少直接涉足其中。 从古代的美索不达米亚发展到罗马帝国,投资变得

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  • 7

    早期集体投资

    未知 早期集体投资 虽然早期历史上与所有制相关的诸多概念尚未充分发展,但是我们从美索不达米亚、埃及、希腊、罗马和亚洲各种不同类型的投资中已经发现了金融的勃勃生机。在世界各地,我们都能看到形形色色的譬如抵押贷款、保险、有限责任、管理合作以及利润共享等制度安排。在投资工具开发、交易记录、利润与现金监测过程中,人们创造出了格外复杂的制度安排和专业术语。 罗马的合资

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  • 8

    信托与慈善事业

    未知 信托与慈善事业 希腊和罗马的信托与慈善事业结构极其复杂,与之前讨论的早期合作模式迥然不同。但是,它们的早期发展模式也体现了典型的合作特征。社会中出现了各类专门为国家、富人或机构提供资本管理的第三方机构。 希腊与罗马的捐赠与慈善事业 希腊大约在公元前4世纪就诞生了永久捐赠(perpetual endowment),常被专门项目用于实现特定目标。166永久

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  • 9

    小结

    未知 小结 本章的历史回顾可能不全面,主要集中介绍了各种金融和投资方式,以此来说明以下四个基本观点。 第一,我们必须深刻了解,尽管人类文明已经创造出多种多样的用于实现所有权、贸易、商业以及借贷的方法,但是这些方法均有一个共性特征,即投资。投资,最核心的一条基本经济原理是提高未来的收益。尽管亚里士多德厌恶拜金主义,但是社会应该对资源进行分配和管理,从而为个人和

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  • 10

    现代企业组织形式的出现

    17世纪至19世纪,随着特权和权利拓展至更广阔的人群,强大的政治民主化开始发端。长期统治中世纪和文艺复兴时期的国王和乡绅贵族们感觉到,曾经对于权力缰绳的牢牢掌控开始慢慢逝去。政治言论、武装叛乱以及独立战争成为重建社会及其制度的手段。能够对社会加以重新构想的观念成为振奋人心的赋予人类权利的根源。 这种政治民主化占据了大部分的历史长河,但是通常被遗忘的另一种民主

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  • 11

    工业革命

    未知 工业革命 尽管斯密对股份制公司的反对并未使其不复存在,但总体来讲他的著作具有很大的影响力。实际上,他的新经济理论强调激烈的市场竞争和自由放任的经济学是鼓励社会创新和繁荣发展的手段,这一点与当时英国和其他欧洲国家日益从重商主义转为接受自由贸易的环境存在特别关联。从第一次工业革命(18世纪60年代至19世纪40年代)开始,在炼铁生产、蒸汽动力的使用以及纺织

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  • 12

    公共市场的出现

    未知 公共市场的出现 为了真正弄清楚公共市场的出现,有必要洞察历史看一看在公共市场出现以前,政府借贷和资产转移是如何进行的。 公共市场出现以前 类似于现代体系的证券市场最早出现在12世纪的意大利。尽管当今的证券市场是由中央政府和大型公司在支配,但在当时,大多数的债务工具实际上是由地方政府和土地主在负责发行。关于债务发行最为显著的革新出现在早期文艺复兴时期的意

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  • 13

    小结

    未知 小结 归根结底,公共市场的出现对管理型投资产生了重大的影响。作为投资民主化故事的最后章节,不能忽略公共股本、融资机制以及专业理财经理和个人投资者策略的发展。观察人士们不应该忘记,这些现代的发展成就深深扎根于股份制公司的发展史以及工业革命所带来的财富和资源的民主化。 作为明朗的民主化趋势的组成部分,股份制公司的引入为那些缺乏无限资源的个人和机构开辟了一条

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  • 14

    关于退休和救济的早期尝试

    投资民主化最深刻的表现之一就是关于退休以及养老金概念的出现。对于“退休”的广泛接受仅仅发端于150年前,并在此后稳步扩展。当前,退休融资促成了世界范围内最大规模的投资资本聚集。单就美国来讲,退休资产合计高达惊人的24万亿美元。1对于退休融资的关注使得社会机构及其采用的投资工具产生了极大变化,并引发了退休资金管理人士掌握新技能的必要性。将退休融资视为投资主要目

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  • 15

    18世纪至19世纪的活动

    未知 18世纪至19世纪的活动 基督教长老会是美国许多早期的养老金计划发展活动的中心。长老会教徒取得的主要进步包括两个方面:一是教区居民出于保护牧师利益,支持建立的养老体系;二是通过牧师本人支付保费形式建立的保险制度。 第一种方式始于1718年费城宗教会议引入“供虔诚使用基金”,其目标是扩张资金并缓解长老会牧师及其家庭的财务困境。1759年,该体系确切建立起

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  • 16

    人口结构变化

    未知 人口结构变化 是什么因素促进了退休向其现代形式的转变?在很大程度上,经济与人口的一系列变化共同播下了改变的种子。关于1880年至1940年期间退休率大幅度增加的确切原因存在各种各样的解释,但是并未达成明确的共识。人们所了解的是,这个时期的退休率发生了很大的变化。1880年,60~79岁年龄段男性的劳动参与率是86.7%,而1940年已下降至59.4%。

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  • 17

    渡过难关:经济大萧条时期的养老储蓄

    未知 渡过难关:经济大萧条时期的养老储蓄 人口结构变化仅仅只是打下了基础。接下来,有必要了解公共以及私人领域出现的结构健全的养老储蓄是如何帮助实现退休以后流金岁月般生活的。 在经济大萧条出现以前,保险公司是提供养老计划的一类机构,拥有规模较小但稳健的客户基础。虽然大萧条对信托公司、普通股和债券市场造成了重大破坏,但保险公司经营的养老金计划实际上运转得非常好。

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  • 18

    联邦养老计划:社会保障的出现

    未知 联邦养老计划:社会保障的出现 但是,并非所有的公民都拥有足够的财富涉足私人保险领域。公共保险体系很快随之发展起来,其发展史既引人入胜,又对认识养老基金的发展进程起到了关键作用。 富兰克林·德拉诺·罗斯福(Franklin Delano Roosevelt)作为一名推行公共养老的坚定拥护者,并不是第一位推动此类国家体系建设以获得潜在社会效益的总统,西奥多

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  • 19

    企业管理退休金的缺陷及新法规的确立

    未知 企业管理退休金的缺陷及新法规的确立 在企业管理退休金计划的时代,资金不足带来的相关问题浮出水面。当企业的支付能力不足以偿付其债务时,企业会破产倒闭。对于一家企业来说,其产品相关性可能降低,可能无法应对某些宏观经济的转变,其管理可能不可靠或无效。企业既不能印钞票,也没有征税的权力(虽然近来美国一些城市的破产说明,仅仅是征税的权力并不足以使一个城市免于偶然

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  • 20

    利用房屋净值充当退休资产

    未知 利用房屋净值充当退休资产 关于最后一种私人退休储蓄形式,值得做一番评论。事实上,除了托管型基金之外,有一种资产在为退休之后提供经济保障方面表现得很突出,那就是房屋资产净值。通常,当个人下决心搬至气候更温暖的地方、腾换至面积较小的房屋或是生活在距离孩子更近的地方时,可以通过简单的出售行为获得该项资产。 与传统的托管型退休资产相比,房屋净值具有两方面的显著

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  • 21

    加强退休规划

    未知 加强退休规划 如今,退休储蓄面临的一大困扰是许多个体存在拖延制定退休规划的倾向。鉴于此,一些公司设立了自动注册的401(k)账户,这样一来公司员工不得不就退出该计划做出决定,而不再是选择加入的问题。尽管在完全理性人以及低转换成本的模型下,从选择加入到决定退出的变更设计本应该不产生影响,但是实证研究却表明了恰恰相反的结论,自动注册似乎克服了拖延导致的多方

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  • 22

    小结

    未知 小结 退休的概念及其相关融资手段的发展是反映数个世纪以来投资民主化进程的最显著的表现。普通人期待并最终有能力实现在年老时远离财务困难并过上有尊严的生活,着实提高了发达国家无数中产阶级的生活水平。 对于近年来退休资产的显著增长,怎么夸大都不为过。1974年,美国退休专用资产的总额约为3 680亿美元。44到2013年,总金额已经增长到20.8万亿美元。4

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  • 23

    新的投资方式

    未知 新的投资方式 投资的民主化有赖于新投资方式的出现,这些投资方式首次试图满足非精英阶层个人投资者对金融安全、财富积累和财富管理的需要。人寿保险和存款储蓄是两种最早出现、最为简单的投资方式。人寿保险的发展涉及滑稽的法律对策、精算数学以及“以死亡做赌注”这一概念的伦理冲击。存款储蓄的发展史同样有趣:经历了从一度对穷人至关重要的储蓄协会,到推动经济发展的商业银

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  • 24

    大萧条和开放式共同基金的出现

    未知 大萧条和开放式共同基金的出现 爱德华·G.莱弗勒(Edward G. Leffler)创立的马萨诸塞州投资信托基金是美国第一只开放式共同基金,时至今日依然活跃在行业内。59范凯特维奇的基金是预先限定股份的数量,这些股份只有通过卖给新的投资人才能变现,莱弗勒则不同,他创立的共同基金股份数量不固定,资金的流动靠赎回来实现。也就是说,投资者所持有的共同基金份

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  • 25

    小结

    未知 小结 无论是个人投资者还是机构投资者,作为投资客户,他们拉动了对新投资形式和投资产品的需求,进而使投资管理逐渐形成一个产业。由于机构寿命的长久性和慈善目标的优越性,捐赠基金和基金会也始终扮演着关键的角色。主权财富基金虽然不太可能引起政治的不稳定,但是却面临着新的挑战,影响着投资领域的创新。由于家庭需要将经济支柱死亡的风险转嫁到人寿保险公司,人寿保险同样

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  • 26

    欺诈

    现实中有三种手段能约束非法行为。第一是法律,我们已经制定、颁布新法律法规来禁止某些行为,将之前不属于违法的行为明晰界定为非法。第二是执行力,我们不断提高甄别非法行为的能力以及整治处罚力度。第三是监管,我们逐步提高监管质量,从而减少这些犯罪行为的发生概率。换言之,我们努力减少可能滋生犯罪的条件,推出一系列举措,包括加大信息透明度,要求现金由合格投资顾问严格把控

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  • 27

    剑走偏锋:交易欺诈

    未知 剑走偏锋:交易欺诈 在结束对欺诈的案例研究之前,我们发现有一种欺诈模式与其他模式相去甚远,这就是交易欺诈。人们把这些欺诈交易者称为“无赖交易员”,他们通常欺诈性地歪曲或者简单掩盖交易敞口,不让供职银行或机构发觉。与我们之前讨论的其他金融欺诈不同,欺诈犯通常来自机构内部,而非外部客户或第三方个人。我们将简要介绍这类金融欺诈,这类欺诈有可能影响金融秩序,甚

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  • 28

    市场操纵

    未知 市场操纵 我们在本部分介绍那些对市场进行操纵或妄图操纵之人。对植物油市场妄图操纵是迪诺·德·安杰利斯的梦想,欺诈实际上只是他为了后来的垄断定价所做的铺垫,可惜最终他只走完了第一步就被绳之以法。我们接下来首先介绍美国早期的威廉·杜尔(William Duer)市场操纵案。 威廉·杜尔 外界对于威廉·杜尔出身豪门的身世一般都轻描淡写。威廉·杜尔的父亲约翰·

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  • 29

    内幕交易

    未知 内幕交易 利用大额购买力或通过串通勾结来影响价格并不是在市场中非法获利的唯一手段。该部分会剖析利用内幕信息,即秘密利用公司重大事件、收入、并购活动,或者其他实质性的非公开信息来获得非法所得的案例。 伊凡·博斯基 我们首先介绍伊凡·博斯基 (Ivan Boesky),他就是电影《华尔街》中戈登·盖柯(Gordon Gekko)的原型。126他说过最有名的

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  • 30

    小结

    未知 小结 美国在促进市场公平的民主化进程中取得令人注目的成绩,推出了一系列禁止市场操纵、基于内幕消息交易以及欺诈的法律法规和监管规章制度。我们将很多行为譬如基于内幕消息的交易界定为非法,在过去很多行为缺乏明确的法律界定。我们意识到市场操纵行为损害市场公平性和资产合理定价。我们修订完善了禁止欺诈的法律法规。当然,现行体系并不完美,仍有很多亟待完善之处,很多问

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  • 31

    股票市场崩溃与“大萧条”

    我们不能脱离当前的经济环境空谈投资。经济发展中的动力或阻碍将直接关系投资活动的兴衰成败。经济发展为投资的起步与壮大提供基础条件。倘若离开经济支持,投资繁荣只能是“水中月、镜中花”。 我们在本章着重分析比较美国政府对两次大经济危机,即20世纪30年代“大萧条”与2007~2009年“大衰退”的应对举措。虽然“大萧条”与“大衰退”的诱因、特点存在差异,但是每次严

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  • 32

    股市大崩盘与大萧条之间的联系

    未知 股市大崩盘与大萧条之间的联系 很明显,现在对大萧条的成因剖析有多种解释版本,其中有些解释很有说服力,但是需要明确的关键一点是,股市大崩盘并非按原先预想是导致大萧条的根源。当然,我们并不否认1929年大崩盘的巨大破坏性。实际上,很多著名经济学家的研究已经有明显论断(包括本·伯南克),大崩盘的确加剧了经济中的结构化问题,进而催生了大萧条。本·伯南克、西蒙·

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  • 33

    大衰退

    未知 大衰退 两次危机的间隔时段 现在看来,20世纪30年代至2007年之间是两次主要金融危机与经济危机的间隔时段,这个时间段内出现了很多“新”的有用的经济政策工具(部分政策仍有争议)。正是对这些酿成大萧条以及大萧条期间所发生的重要事件分析,才诞生了创新性的经济思想和政策建议,其中特别著名的就是约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯的闪光思想,深刻揭示了金融和经济灾难的根源与

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  • 34

    金融与实体经济的交互关系

    未知 金融与实体经济的交互关系 大萧条与大衰退的另一个明显差异还在于金融与实体经济的关系。本章已经详细论述了1929年大崩盘并不是大萧条的真正成因。当然,大崩盘是场灾难——股市崩盘对部分消费者带来负财富效应,他们的资产价值在不断缩水。但是,大崩盘并不是大萧条的根本原因。 然而,当今的形势完全不同。几乎所有的实体经济在一定程度上都依赖于金融市场,而且特别依赖于

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  • 35

    经济复苏

    未知 经济复苏 金融体系中的狂热活动造成金融危机,并进而形成经济萧条。我们将2007~2009年这次经济崩溃称为大衰退,从而区别于20世纪30年代的大萧条,这也是为了说明我们当前的经济形势远未沦落到萧条的地步。回顾历史,尽管我们目前处于20世纪30年代以来最严重的经济倒退,但是其持续期和强度都远远不及大萧条。 以美联储为首,财政部配合实施的各类政策在抵御严重

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  • 36

    小结

    未知 小结 本章讨论了美国在过去一个世纪所经历的两次巨大经济震动,以便揭示我们应如何应对周期性危机,如何推动让大部分人受益的投资民主化进程。本章的实例充分说明,国家经济政策的重心有所调整,体现了广泛民主化思想,通过不断改善经济管理政策从而提高经济稳定性、就业与消费水平。 对两次危机的比较分析显示,我们已经采取了更加主动和有效的措施以应对周期性经济问题。为了更

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  • 37

    第一个抽屉:资产定价

    报纸上有关于投资的专题报道,各大广播电台有关于投资的简短资讯,每天夜间新闻对此也热烈讨论。我们每天都被各种实时更新的财经资讯包围,如道琼斯、纳斯达克或者标普500指数。媒体对市场脉搏的触碰一刻都不曾停歇。自金融市场诞生之初,各类评论员就热衷于解读各种变动,即便是短期变动也不遗漏——这些变动有的缓和,有的急剧,但是都难以预测。 这引发了一个核心问题:人们如何理

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  • 38

    第二个抽屉:风险

    未知 第二个抽屉:风险 大多数人了解自己的风险偏好,以及在何种情况下会选择冒险。一些人是风险偏好者,如赌徒、企业家、极限运动爱好者。其他人则是风险厌恶者,他们喜欢按部就班、安全性与可预测性。实际上,我们知道自己该如何应对生活中所存在的各类风险,但是我们很少停下来思考一个最基本的问题:风险是什么,风险是由什么引起的? 风险来自所犯的错误,而犯错是因为我们缺乏预

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  • 39

    第三个抽屉:专业投资者的业绩

    未知 第三个抽屉:专业投资者的业绩 投资经理用第一个抽屉中的工具评估单项资产的价格,用第二个抽屉中的技术将它们配置到合适的投资组合中,此后就能够用第三个抽屉中的理论来评估其表现。客户也能用这些工具来评估其投资经理的决策结果。就这点而言,专业投资者打开第三个抽屉可能更紧张。这些理论非常强大但也充满风险,是衡量投资业绩与投资增值的参照标准。简言之,这是一套工具集

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  • 40

    小结

    未知 小结 我们在上文已经回顾了资产定价理论、风险以及投资经理业绩衡量。这些故事的主人公都是一个个鲜活的人,有的人运气很好(或者不走运),有的人偶然遭遇事情可能影响一生的轨迹,有的人可能会质疑某些学者的研究适用性。有的经济学家如巴舍利耶,其研究成果可能数十年无法被外界理解;有的经济学家如布莱克、斯科尔斯,他们的研究成果让人们的思想很快发生明显变化;有的经济学

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  • 41

    另类投资:对冲基金、私募股权和风险投资

    本章追溯近年来出现的新颖投资形式的发展历史,尤其是另类投资以及指数基金和交易所交易基金(EFTs)等低成本的被动型投资工具。这两类投资形式在许多方面迥然不同。另类投资(包括对冲基金、私募股权和风险投资在内的投资类别)往往具有高收费、相对专属的特性,并通常属于机构类产品。相比之下,指数基金和交易所交易基金的费用低,通常包含基于规则的被动所有权,可供散户投资者和

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  • 42

    对冲基金

    未知 对冲基金 近年来,对冲基金时常见诸报刊头条,然而在关于这些资金池的实际业绩、应该如何运作以及应该在更广阔的金融环境及其所处的投资组合中发挥何种角色等问题上,所散播出来的信息似乎未能达成一致看法。实际上,一些投资者谴责对冲基金自2008年全球金融危机以来表现不佳,而其他投资者却称赞其在该动荡时期提供了相对的稳定性。一些人谴责这些基金容易受到欺诈的影响,而

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  • 43

    私募股权、风险投资和其他另类投资

    未知 私募股权、风险投资和其他另类投资 接下来,我们要关注私募股权、风险投资和其他另类投资。正如20世纪中期之前,大型金融机构、投资银行和私人银行的财富管理部门主要推动引领着投资管理领域的发展,机构类投资者以及较小规模的个人投资者则主导了21世纪的广泛另类投资。 私募股权 传统意义上的私募股权,是通过购买或者创造私营企业,最终实现将其卖给战略买家、其他私人股

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  • 44

    指数基金和交易所交易基金

    未知 指数基金和交易所交易基金 我们现在考虑一些完全不同的投资工具:指数基金和交易所交易基金。指数基金和交易所交易基金不属于主动型基金,主动型基金主要依靠投资人员根据时间做出恰当的证券选择。指数基金和交易所交易基金是被动型基金,根据一些规则例如部门和市值追踪有价证券(后面讨论到的2008年以后出现的新型交易所交易基金是个例外)。这种策略所收取的费用远低于主动

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  • 45

    小结

    未知 小结 另类投资的未来仍然不确定,有两个因素会影响另类投资的发展轨迹。第一个因素来自管理和控制层面。毫无疑问,在出现了诈骗和其他形式的违法行为后,政府和证券监管者会密切关注,详细审查另类投资类别来保护产品的投资人和消费者。然而如果历史能够指引未来的发展,监管人也要花时间来实现既允许市场获利又不会有失公正地关闭整个市场范围这两者之间的平衡。被咨询的专家认为

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  • 46

    独立精神和企业家精神:环境、动机和行为

    无论是为借款人策划一份独一无二的协议,还是慧眼寻得一个有潜力的投资机会,抑或是精明地决定最优的资本结构,在各种各样的投资过程中,创新都居于核心地位。不难看出,成功的投资者所采取的创造性举措,最终不仅依赖于投资项目本身的渠道和创造性,更依赖于投资管理。 20世纪的大部分时间,商业银行和投资银行内部的大型机构和财富管理部门是推动投资管理行业发展的主要力量。管理投

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  • 47

    创新投资和另类投资的兴起

    未知 创新投资和另类投资的兴起 在这一新的领域获得成功的经理人中有许多创造、开发了能够提高业绩并获取更高服务费的新的投资方式、投资技巧和投资产品。对冲基金和私募股权公司的第一批客户是那些对投资资本有很高的风险容忍度的客户。这一点容易理解,因为在当时对冲基金和私募股权公司的业绩记录通常是简短的、不完整的,甚至根本不存在。实际上将资本投资于这样的公司只在理论上具

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  • 48

    独立成为主流

    未知 独立成为主流 2013年年底全美管理资产规模排名前300的投资经理的榜单揭示了投资管理行业中独立性对成功的影响程度。事实上,如果我们将“独立”这一概念囊括以下几个类型:独立的互惠基金经理、独立的投资顾问公司、主要由经理所有的投资公司、今天的私募股权和对冲基金(不包括大型投资银行和商业银行,以及这些机构内部的部门,如银行信托部门、机构所有的对冲基金、半独

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  • 49

    薪酬结构及其细微差别

    未知 薪酬结构及其细微差别 β和α的捆绑作用 业绩费几乎总是以回报作为支付依据,而不是以α值作为依据。α值是与基准相关的风险调整值,由投资经理通过安全选择、商机把握、规模投资或风险管理等方式的组合最终估算得出。然而,基金的收益受到α值和β值的共同影响。举例来讲,假设有一只偏重买空的对冲基金(即这只基金可能进行一些卖空,但总体倾向于买空),由于其偏重买空的特点

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  • 50

    小结

    未知 小结 很明显,20世纪下半叶在全球投资管理史上占有重要地位。独立投资经理群体的形成使投资管理业发生了彻底的大变革,这一群体在企业家精神的鞭策下以创造复杂而有创新性的投资产品为目的。这种独立精神不仅回馈了投资经理,也回馈了客户:提供给客户的高品质产品、由经理增加的价值、提高的投资回报率以及创新管理的自由。就企业一方而言,组织领导问题、盈利能力、业务管理和

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  • 51

    投资与社会变革

    未知 投资与社会变革 由于投资民主化在持续推进中,我们期待未来的民主化程度能进一步提高。投资一直以来受到当前社会中特定社会、政治和文化形态的影响并在此基础上得以建立,并且事实上,投资推动了现代社会的许多伟大变革。现在,我们需要考虑如何利用投资来提高政治与社会水平,以及如何运用投融资推动文明进步。 一个关于投资影响力的例子是美国不断推进住房保障制度。鼓励住房所

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  • 52

    基本问题与机遇

    未知 基本问题与机遇 在我们考虑未来投资将如何发生时,需要就一些基本的问题和机会做进一步讨论。这些问题和机会与本文引言所阐述的原理截然不同,并将在结论部分做进一步说明。投资的原理本质上是一种哲学的概念,是实现投资的方法;而基本投资问题包括投资特性和参与的市场。投资者需要时刻关注市场状况以及未来它将如何发展。 结盟 结盟是未来投资需要关注的一个话题。结盟是指贷

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  • 53

    投资的四项原则

    未知 投资的四项原则 我们在最后的结论部分回顾在本书引言中曾阐述的投资的四项基础原则,这些原则对于稳健投资至关重要。我们回顾投资历史,其中的一个目的就是更好地理解人们怎样才能更加聪明、稳健地开展投资,所以在结语部分,我们将思考一下实际所有权、基本价值、金融杠杆和资源配置如何为周密的投资过程奠定基础。 当今时代,实际所有权的重要性比之前任何时期更加明显。我们所

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  • 54

    注释

    引言 投资挑战 1.Robert G.Hagstrom, The warren Buffett Way(New York: Wiley,1994),45. 2.John Burr Williams,The Theory of Investment Value(cambridge,MA:Harvare University Press,1938),5-6. 3

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  • 55

    参考文献

    1.W. Jones Advisers. “History of the Firm”. Accessed 2014.http://www. awjones.com/historyofthefirm.html. 2.Abkowitz, Alyssa. “Madoff's Auditor…Doesn't Audit?” CNN Money, December 1

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  • 56

    致谢

    这本书凝聚了众多人的智慧,历经多年反复推敲才得以问世。我们在五年前启动了一项关于投资的研究项目,并且从那时起就致力于积极推动该项目。我们感谢每一位认真的项目参与者,书中难免会有遗漏或失误之处,望读者朋友批评指正。 一直以来,该项目振奋人心。此项研究背景宏大,研究主题需要从多维度进行全面、详尽且重要的剖析。人们对投资在世界发展中的作用感到开心或者有所抱怨,但是

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Local EPUB Text

注释

引言 投资挑战

1.Robert G.Hagstrom, The warren Buffett Way(New York: Wiley,1994),45.

2.John Burr Williams,The Theory of Investment Value(cambridge,MA:Harvare University Press,1938),5-6.

3.Ibid.

4.Richard A.Goldthwaite,The Economy of Renaissance Florence(Baltimore:Johns Hopkins University Press,2009),408-411 and 54-545.

5.Roger Lowenstein,When Genius Failed:The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management(New York:Random House,2000),191.

6.Andrea Frazzini, David Kabiller, and Lasse H.Pedersen,“Buffett's Alpha”(NBER Working Paper 19681,National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge,MA,November 2013),http://www.nber.org/papers/w19681,4.

7.Goldthwaite,Economy of Renaissance Florence,391-394.

8.William Thorndike, introduction to The Outsiders:Eight Unconventional CEOs and Their Radically Rational Blueprint for Success(Boston:Harvard Business Review Press,2012),5-8.

9.Ibid.

10.Ibid., 38-39.

第一章 权力精英的特权

1. Marc Van De Mieroop, The Ancient Mesopotamian City (New York:Oxford University Press, 1999), 146.

2. Jane R. McIntosh, Ancient Mesopotamia: New Perspectives (Santa Barbara,CA: ABC-CLIO, 2005), 3, 62-65, and 349-350; Van De Mieroop,Ancient Mesopotamian City, 146-147.

3. Benjamin Foster, “A New Look at the Sumerian Temple State”,Journal of the Economic and Social History of the Orient 24, no. 3 (October 1981):226-227.

4. Maria deJ Ellis, Agriculture and the State in Ancient Mesopotamia:An Introduction to the Problems of Land Tenure, Occasional Publications of the Babylonian Fund 1 (Philadelphia: University Museum,1976), 10.

5. Foster, “Sumerian Temple State”,226.

6. W. F. Leemans, “The Role of Landlease in Mesopotamia in the Early Second Millennium bc”,Journal of the Economic and Social History of the Orient 18, no. 2 (June 1975): 136.

7. Foster, “Sumerian Temple State”,226.

8. G. van Driel, “Capital Formation and Investment in an Institutional Context in Ancient Mesopotamia”,in Trade and Finance in Ancient Mesopotamia, ed. J. G. Dercksen (Leiden: Nederlands Instituut voor het Nabije Oosten, 1999), 32-37.

9. McIntosh, Ancient Mesopotamia, 130 and 351.

10. Ibid., 130.

11. Leemans, “Role of Landlease”,136-139.

12. A. Leo Oppenheim, Ancient Mesopotamia: Portrait of a Dead Civilization (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1977), 85; Van De Mieroop,Ancient Mesopotamian City, 147.

13. V an De Mieroop, Ancient Mesopotamian City, 147-148.

14. Xenophon, Oeconomicus, trans. Carnes Lord, in The Shorter Socratic Writings: Apology of Socrates to the Jury, Oeconomicus, and Symposium, ed. Robert C. Bartlett (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press,1996), 39-40.

15. Humfrey Michell, Economics of Ancient Greece, 2nd ed. (Cambridge: Heffer, 1957), 38.

16. Ibid., 41-44.

17. Ibid., 39-41.

18. Tenney Frank, Rome and Italy of the Republic, vol. 1 of An Economic Survey of Ancient Rome (Paterson, NJ: Pageant, 1959), 208-214, 295-299,and 376-402.

19. Jean Andreau, Banking and Business in the Roman World, trans. Janet Lloyd (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1999), 18.

20. Ibid., xv and 18.

21. Ibid., 26-27 and 64-70.

22. Ibid., 18-19.

23. Dominic Rathbone, Economic Rationalism and Rural Society in Third- Century a.d. Egypt: The Heroninos Archive and the Appianus Estate (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1991), xviii and 44.

24. Ibid., 58-87.

25. D ennis P. Kehoe, Management and Investment on Estates in Roman Egypt during the Early Empire (Bonn: Habelt, 1992), 16-20.

26. Jules Toutain, The Economic Life of the Ancient World, trans. M. R. Dobie(Abingdon, UK: Routledge, 1996), 246-250.

27. Agasha Mugasha, The Law of Letters of Credit and Bank Guarantees (Sydney: Federation Press, 2003), 38-39.

28. Joseph Manning, “Demotic Papyri (664-30 bce)”,in Security for Debt in Ancient Near Eastern Law, ed. Raymond Westbrook and Richard Jasnow (Leiden: Brill, 2001), 307-308 and 312.

29. Ibid., 310 and 315.

30. Ibid., 308.

31. Sitta von Reden, Money in Ptolemaic Egypt: From the Macedonian Conquest to the End of the Third Century bc (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007), 8.

32. Manning,“Demotic Papyri”, 310.

33. Ibid., 310-312.

34. Ibid., 320-321.

35. Paul Millett, Lending and Borrowing in Ancient Athens (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1991), 5; Aristophanes, The Birds, trans.David Barrett (London: Penguin, 2003), 159.

36. Millet, Lending and Borrowing, 6.

37. Ibid., 3, 29, and 72.

38. Ibid., 27-52.

39. Ibid., 32-33.

40. Ibid., 24 and 247n21.

41. Edward E. Cohen, Athenian Economy and Society: A Banking Perspective (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1992), 71-75.

42. Michell, Economics of Ancient Greece, 336.

43. Glen Davies, A History of Money: From Ancient Times to the Present Day(Cardiff: University of Wales Press, 2002), 75-76.

44. Millett, Lending and Borrowing, 24.

45. Cohen, Athenian Economy and Society, 76-77.

46. Michell, Economics of Ancient Greece, 335.

47. Sidney Homer and Richard Sylla, A History of Interest Rates, 4th ed.(Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2005), 35.

48. Ibid.

49. Ibid., 36.

50. Andreau, Banking and Business, 46.

51. Ibid., 142.

52. Ibid., 46-48.

53. Ibid., 2.

54. Toutain, Economic Life of the Ancient World, 246.

55. Jiaguan Hong, 中国金融史 [A financial history of China] (Chengdu,1993); Qiugen Liu, “两宋私营高利贷资本初探” [A first look at usury capital in the Song dynasty], Philosophy and Social Sciences (Hebei University),no. 3 (1987): 11-17.

56. Hong, Financial history of China.

57. Ibid.

58. Liu,First look at usury capital.

59. Hong, Financial history of China.

60. Quigen Liu, “论中国古代商业、高利贷资本组织中的‘合资’与‘合伙’”[Joint-stock partnerships in business and usury capital organization in ancient China], Hebei Academic Journal (Hebei University), no.5(1994): 86-91.

61. V alerie Hansen and Ana Mata-Fink, “Records from a Seventh-Century Pawnshop in China”,in The Origins of Value: The Financial Innovations That Created Modern Capital Markets, ed. William N. Goetzmann and K. Geert Rouwenhorst (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005), 54-58; Homer and Sylla, History of Interest Rates, 614.

62. Hansen and Mata-Fink, “Records from a Pawnshop”,58-59.

63. Michael T. Skully, “The Development of the Pawnshop Industry in East Asia”,in Financial Landscapes Reconstructed: The Fine Art of Mapping Development, ed. F. J. A. Bouman and Otto Hospes (Boulder, CO: Westview,1994), 363-364.

64. Suzanne Gay, The Moneylenders of Late Medieval Kyoto (Honolulu: University of Hawaii Press, 2001), 37-40.

65. Suzanne Gay, e-mail message to author, March 30, 2011.

66. Gay, Moneylenders of Kyoto, 48-49.

67. Ibid., 40 and 45.

68. Franklin W. Ryan, Usury and Usury Laws: A Juristic-Economic Study of the Effects of State Statutory Maximums for Loan Charges upon Lending Operations in the United States (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1924), 38-39.

69. Oppenheim, Ancient Mesopotamia, 88.

70. J. B. C. Murray, The History of Usury (Philadelphia: J. B. Lippincott,1866), 22-25.

71. Joseph Persky, “Retrospectives: From Usury to Interest”,Journal of Economic Perspectives 21, no. 2 (Winter 2007): 229.

72. Murray, History of Usury, 28-29.

73. Ibid., 27-28.

74. The biblical references in this section are noted by Homer and Sylla, History of Interest Rates, 67, and by Sudin Haron and Wan Nursofiza Wan Azmi, Islamic Finance and Banking System: Philosophies, Principles and Practices (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2009), 172-178. The translations provided here are from the New King James Version.

75. Jared Rubin, “The Lender's Curse: A New Look at the Origin and Persistence of Interest Bans in Islam and Christianity” (PhD diss., Stanford University, 2007), 31-32, ProQuest (AAT 3267615).

76. Homer and Sylla, History of Interest Rates, 68.

77. Ibid., 69.

78. Meir Kohn, “The Capital Market before 1600” (Working Paper 99-06, Department of Economics, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH,February 1999), http://www.dartmouth.edu/~mkohn/Papers/99-06.pdf, 10-12.

79. Meir Kohn, “Finance before the Industrial Revolution: An Introduction”(Working Paper 99-01, Department of Economics, Dartmouth College,Hanover, NH, February 1999), http://www.dartmouth.edu/~mkohn/Papers/99-01.pdf, 10.

80. Homer and Sylla, History of Interest Rates, 71.

81. Persky, “Retrospectives”,227.

82. Raymond de Roover, The Rise and Decline of the Medici Bank, 1397-1494(Washington, DC: Beard Books, 1999), 10-14.

83. Frederic C. Lane, Venice and History: Collected Papers of F. C. Lane(Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1966), 64.

84. Manuel Riu, “Banking and Society in Late Medieval and Early Modern Aragon”,in The Dawn of Modern Banking (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1979), 136.

85. Kohn, “Finance before the Industrial Revolution”,11.

86. Ibid., 11.

87. Murray, History of Usury, 45-47.

88. Persky, “Retrospectives”,227-236; Homer and Sylla, History of Interest Rates, 79.

89. Raymond de Roover, “Scholastic Economics: Survival and Lasting Influence from the Sixteenth Century to Adam Smith”,Quarterly Journal of Economics 69, no. 2 (May 1955): 175-176.

90. Benedict XIV (pope), Vix Pervenit, [1745], EWTN Global Catholic Network, accessed January 2015, http://www.ewtn.com/library /ENCYC/B14VIXPE.htm.

91. Norman Jones, “Usury”,in Encyclopedia of Economic and Business History, ed. Robert Whaples, Economic History Association, article published February 10, 2008, http://eh.net/encyclopedia/usury.

92. Shahid Hasan Siddiqui, Islamic Banking: Genesis & Rationale, Evaluation& Review, Prospects & Challenges (Karachi: Royal Book, 1994),5-6.

93. Ibid., 9.

94. Haron and Azmi, Islamic Finance and Banking System, 48.

95. Ibid., 190.

96. Siddiqui, Islamic Banking, 21.

97. Anwar Iqbal Qureshi, Islam and the Theory of Interest (Lahore: Shaikh Muhammad Ashraf, 1946), 175-189.

98. Haron and Azmi, Islamic Finance and Banking System, 44 and 52-53.

99. Wayne A. M. Visser and Alastair MacIntosh, “A Short Review of the Historical Critique of Usury”,Accounting, Business & Financial History 8, no. 2 (1998): 176.

100. Kohn, “Finance before the Industrial Revolution”,9-12.

101. Robert S. Lopez, The Commercial Revolution of the Middle Ages, 950-1350(Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1976), 27-30, 56-60, and 85-91.

102. Ibid., 85-91.

103. Cohen, Athenian Economy and Society, 6.

104. Scott Meikle, Aristotle's Economic Thought (Oxford: Clarendon Press,1995), 6-21.

105. M. I. Finley, The Ancient Economy, Sather Classical Lectures 43 (Berkeley:University of California Press, 1999), 22-23.

106. V an Driel, “Capital Formation and Investment”,25-42.

107. Hans Neumann, “Ur-Dumuzida and Ur-DUN: Reflections on the Relationship Between State-Initiated Foreign Trade and Private Economic Activity in Mesopotamia Towards the End of the Third Millennium bc”,in Dercksen, Trade and Finance, 45-46 and 62.

108. Colin Adams, “Transport,” in The Cambridge Companion to the Roman Economy, ed.Walter Scheidel (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2012), 218-227.

109. Elio Lo Cascio, “The Early Roman Empire: The State and the Economy”,in The Cambridge Economic History of the Greco-Roman World,ed. Walter Scheidel, Ian Morris, and Richard P. Saller (Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2007), 621-622 and 626; Adams, “Transport,”223-224.

110. Henri Pirenne, Medieval Cities: Their Origins and the Revival of Trade,trans. Frank D. Halsey (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press,1952), 114 and 123-124.

111. Ibid., 185-212.

112. Lopez, Commercial Revolution, 63-70 and 85-91; Richard A. Goldthwaite,The Economy of Renaissance Florence (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2009),3-6.

113. Goldthwaite, Economy of Renaissance Florence, 9; Lopez, Commercial Revolution, 87-89; Pirenne, Medieval Cities, 114-119.

114. Goldthwaite, Economy of Renaissance Florence, 143-151.

115. Raymond de Roover, The Medici Bank: Its Organization, Management, Operations and Decline (New York: New York University Press, 1948),5ff.

116. Ibid., 29-30.

117. Goldthwaite, Economy of Renaissance Florence, 143-151.

118. Ibid., 236-245.

119. Goldthwaite, Economy of Renaissance Florence, 230-245; Edwin S. Hunt,“A New Look at the Dealings of the Bardi and Peruzzi with Edward III”,Journal of Economic History 50, no. 1 (March 1990) 156-161; Tim Parks, Medici Money: Banking, Metaphysics and Art in Fifteenth-Century Florence (New York: Norton, 2005), 6.

120. Suzanne Gay, “The Lamp-Oil Merchants of Iwashimizu Shrine: Transregional Commerce in Medieval Japan,” Monumenta Nipponica 64,no. 1 (Spring 2009): 2-31.

121. Nakai Nobuhiko and James L. McClain, “Commercial Change and Urban Growth in Early Modern Japan,”in The Cambridge History of Japan, vol. 4, Early Modern Japan, ed. John Whitney Hall (Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 1991), 542 and 562.

122. Ibid., 557-563.

123. Ibid., 562-563.

124. Christopher Howe, The Origins of Japanese Trade Supremacy: Development and Technology in Asia from 1540 to the Pacific War (Chicago:University of Chicago Press, 1996), 3-21.

125. Giles Milton, Samurai William: The Adventurer Who Unlocked Japan(London: Hodder & Stoughton, 2002), 301-302.

126. Ibid., 302-303.

127. Ibid., 303.

128. Howe, Japanese Trade Supremacy, 21-22.

129. Ibid., 22 and 26-27.

130. Ibid., 22-23.

131. D . D. Kosambi, “Indian Feudal Trade Charters”,Journal of the Economic and Social History of the Orient 2, no. 3 (December 1959): 281-282.

132. Rosalind O' Hanlon, Caste, Conflict, and Ideology: Mahatma Jotirao Phule and Low Caste Protest in Nineteenth-Century Western India, Cambridge South Asian Studies 30 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1985), 4-5; Stanley Wolpert, India, rev. ed. (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1999), 119.

133. Shireen Moosvi, “The Medieval State and Caste”,Social Scientist 39, no.7-8 (July-August 2011): 5-6.

134. Nandita P. Sahai, “Crafts in Eighteenth-Century Jodhpur: Questions of Class, Caste and Community Identities”,Journal of the Economic and Social History of the Orient 48, no. 4 (2005): 535.

135. P. S. Kanaka Durga, “Identity and Symbols of Sustenance:Explorations in Social Mobility of Medieval South India”,Journal of the Economic and Social History of the Orient 44, no. 2 (2001): 141ff.

136.Chandrika Kaul, “From Empire to Independence: The British Raj in India, 1858-1947”,BBC, last modified March 3, 2011, http://www.bbc.co.uk/history/british/modern/independence1947_01.shtm.

137. Morris D. Morris, “Towards a Reinterpretation of Nineteenth-Century Indian Economic History”,Journal of Economic History 23, no. 4(December 1963): 611-614.

138. Kaul,From Empire to Independence.

139. Ibid.

140. David McMorran, The Origin of Investment Securities (Detroit: First National Company of Detroit, 1925), 13.

141. Toutain, Economic Life of the Ancient World, 246.

142. Ulrike Malmendier, “Law and Finance ‘at the Origin’”,Journal of Economic Literature 47, no. 4 (December 2009): 1085-1086.

143. Toutain, Economic Life of the Ancient World, 246.

144. Ulrike Malmendier, “Roman Shares”,in The Origins of Value: The Financial Innovations That Created Modern Capital Markets, ed. William N.Goetzmann and K. Geert Rouwenhorst (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005), 35-36.

145. Malmendier, “Law and Finance ‘at the Origin’”,1088-1092.

146. Ulrike Malmendier, “Societas” (working paper, Department of Economics,University of California, Berkeley, CA, n.d.), http://eml.berkeley.edu/~ulrike/Papers/Societas_Article_v3.pdf.

147. Toutain, Economic Life of the Ancient World, 246.

148. McMorran, Origin of Investment Securities, 13.

149. J. G. Dercksen, “On the Financing of Old Assyrian Merchants”,in Dercksen, Trade and Finance, 86.

150. Ibid., 88-94.

151. Abraham L. Udovitch, “At the Origins of the Western Commenda: Islam, Israel, Byzantium?”Speculum 37, no. 2 (April 1962): 201-202.

152. Olga Maridaki-Karatza, “Legal Aspects of the Financing of Trade”,in The Economic History of Byzantium, ed. Angeliki E. Laiou (Washington, DC: Dumbarton Oaks Research Library and Collection, 2002),3:1112-1115.

153. Udovitch, “Origins of the Western Commenda”,199-200.

154. Murat Cizakca, A Comparative Evolution of Business Partnerships:The Islamic World and Europe, with Specific Reference to the Ottoman Archives, The Ottoman Empire and Its Heritage 8 (Leiden: Brill, 1996),66-68.

155. Ibid., 4-5.

156. Ibid., 5-6.

157. Ibid., 4.

158. Max Weber, The History of Commercial Partnerships in the Middle Ages, trans. Lutz Kaelber (Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield, 2003), 63-75; Florence Edler de Roover, “Partnership Accounts in Twelfth Century Genoa”,Bulletin of the Business Historical Society 15, no. 6 (December 1941): 88.

159. F. de Roover, “Partnership Accounts in Genoa”,88.

160. R . de Roover, Rise and Decline of the Medici Bank, 237.

161. Weber, History of Commercial Partnerships, 137-139.

162. Sebouh Aslanian, “The Circulation of Men and Credit: The Role of the Commenda and the Family Firm in Julfan Society”,Journal of the Economic and Social History of the Orient 50, no. 2-3 (2007): 127.

163. U dovitch, “Origins of the Western Commenda”,202-207.

164. Ciza kca, Comparative Evolution of Business Partnerships, 67 and 77.

165. Ibid., 78.

166. Joshua Sosin, “Perpetual Endowments in the Hellenistic World: A Case-Study in Economic Rationalism” (PhD diss., Duke University, 2000),17, ProQuest (AAT 9977683).

167. Ibid., 28-29.

168. Ibid., 23.

169. Jinyu Liu, “The Economy of Endowments: The Case of the Roman Collegia”,in Pistoi Dia Tèn Technèn: Studies in Honour of Raymond Bogaert, Studia Hellenistica 44, ed. Koenraad Verboven, Katelijn Vandorpe, and Véronique Chankowski (Leuven: Peeters, 2008), 233 and 239.

170. Ibid., 240.

171. Ibid., 239 and 244-245.

172. Sosin,Perpetual Endowments.

173. Ibid., 2.

174. A. R. W. Harrison, The Law of Athens, vol. 1, The Family and Property,2nd ed. (Indianapolis: Hackett, 1998), 99-100.

175. Adolf Berger, Barry Nicholas, and Susan M. Treggiari, “Guardianship”,in The Oxford Classical Dictionary, ed. Simon Hornblower, Antony Spawforth, and Esther Eidinow, 4th ed. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2012), 637.

176. Dennis P. Kehoe, Investment, Profit, and Tenancy: The Jurists and the Roman Agrarian Economy (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press,1997), 35.

177. Robert L. Clark, Lee A. Craig, and Jack W. Wilson, A History of Public Sector Pensions in the United States (Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 2003), 24-26.

178. Suetonius, Lives of the Twelve Caesars, trans. Philemon Holland (New York: Holland, 1965), quoted in Clark, Craig, and Wilson, History of Public Sector Pensions, 26.

179. C lark, Craig, and Wilson, History of Public Sector Pensions, 26.

第二章 投资民主化——股份制公司、工业革命和公共市场

1. Meir Kohn, “The Capital Market before 1600” (Working Paper 99–06, Department of Economics, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, February 1999), http://www.dartmouth.edu/~mkohn/Papers/99-06 .pdf, 14-18.

2. Robert Gibson-Jarvie, The City of London: A Financial and Commercial History (Cambridge: Woodhead-Faulkner, 1979), 24 and 98.

3. Ibid., 24-25.

4. Mira Wilkins, The History of Foreign Investment in the United States to 1914. Harvard Studies in Business History 41 (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1989), 3-4.

5. Ibid., 4-5.

6. “South Sea Bubble Short History”,Baker Library, Harvard Business School, accessed 2014, http://www.library.hbs.edu/hc/ssb/history .html; Joel Bakan, The Corporation: The Pathological Pursuit of Profit and Power (New York: Free Press, 2004), 6-8.

7. South Sea Bubble Short History.

8. Bakan, The Corporation, 6-7.

9. Colin Arthur Cooke, Corporation, Trust and Company: An Essay in Legal History (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1951), 83.

10. Adam Smith, An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (New York: Modern Library, 1937), 334-335.

11. Peter N. Stearns, The Industrial Revolution in World History, 3rd ed. (Boulder, CO: Westview, 2007).

12. Ibid., 34-37.

13. Ibid., 17-26 and 79-83.

14. Meir Kohn, “Finance before the Industrial Revolution: An Introduction” (Working Paper 99-01, Department of Economics, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, February 1999), http://www.dartmouth.edu/~mkohn /Papers/99-01.pdf, 5-6.

15. Joseph E. Inikori, Africans and the Industrial Revolution in England: A Study in International Trade and Economic Development (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2002), 315.

16. Kohn, “Finance before the Industrial Revolution”,2-4.

17. Inikori, Africans and the Industrial Revolution,314-316.

18. Richard Brown, Society and Economy in Modern Britain, 1700-1850 (New York: Routledge, 1990), 198.

19. Ibid., 200.

20. Ibid., 200-201.

21. Ibid., 293.

22. Richard Price, British Society, 1680-1880: Dynamism, Containment, and Change (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1999), 76-78.

23. Michael Collins, Monday and Banking in the UK: A History (New York:Routledge, 1988), 57.

24. Carlo M. Cipolla, Before the Industrial Revolution: European Society and Economy, 1000-1700, trans. Christopher Wood all, 3rd ed. (New York: Norton, 1994), 30-33.

25. Eric Hobsbawm, Industry and Empire: From 1750 to the Present Day, rev. ed. (London: Penguin, 1999), 55-56.

26. G. N. von Tunzelmann, “The Standard of Living Debate and Optimal Economic Growth”,in The Economics of the Industrial Revolution, ed. Joel Mokyr (London: Allen & Unwin, 1985), 207; Peter H. Lindert and Jeffrey G. Williamson, “English Workers’ Living Standards During the Industrial Revolution: A New Look”,Economic History Review, n.s., 36, no. 1 (February 1983): 1-2.

27. Hobsbawm, Industry and Empire, 54-55.

28. Ibid., 58.

29. Ibid., 55-59; Price, British Society, 275-276.

30. Martin Kitchen, A History of Modern Germany, 1800-2000 (Malden, MA: Blackwell, 2006), 39.

31. Lindert and Williamson, “English Workers’ Living Standards”,4.

32. Ibid., 7.

33. Sutapa Bose and Ashok Rudra, “Quantitative Estimates of Primitive Accumulation and Its Sources”,Economic and Political Weekly 29, no. 4 (January 22, 1994): 200.

34. Peter Temin, “Two Views of the British Industrial Revolution”,Journal of Economic History 57, no. 1 (March 1997): 63-64.

35. David McNally, Political Economy and the Rise of Capitalism: A Reinterpretation (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1988), 156-158 and 177-179.

36. Brown, Society and Economy, 192-193.

37. Naomi R. Lamoreaux, Margaret Levenstein, and Kenneth L. Sokoloff, “Financing Invention during the Second Industrial Revolution: Cleveland, Ohio, 1870-1920” (NBER Working Paper 10923, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, November 2004), http:// www.nber.org/papers/w10923.pdf, 1-2.

38. Ibid., 10-20.

39. Ibid., 5.

40. Hubert Bonin, “‘Blue Angels’,‘Venture Capital’,and ‘Whales’: Networks Financing the Takeoff of the Second Industrial Revolution in France, 1890s–1920s”,Business and Economic History On-Line 2 (2004), http:// www.thebhc.org/sites/default/files/Bonin_0.pdf, 9-14.

41. Kohn, “Capital Market before 1600”,9-13; Larry Neal, “On the Historical Development of Stock Markets”,in The Emergence and Evolution of Markets, ed. Horst Brezinski and Michael Fritsch (Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar, 1997), 61-62.

42. Maurice Obstfeld and Alan M. Taylor, Global Capital Markets: Integration, Crisis, and Growth (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2004), 17.

43. Ranald C. Michie, The Global Securities Market: A History (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2006), 21-23; Kohn, “Capital Market before 1600”,6-7; Obstfeld and Taylor, Global Capital Markets, 18.

44. R anald C. Michie, “Development of Stock Markets”,in The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance, ed. Peter Newman, Murray Milgate, and John Eatwell (London: Macmillan, 1992), 662; Michie, Global Securities Market, 21-23; Obstfeld and Taylor, Global Capital Markets, 18.

45. Neal, “Historical Development”,63.

46. Michie, “Development of Stock Markets”,662.

47. Obstfeld and Taylor, Global Capital Markets, 18.

48. Michie, Global Securities Market, 24.

49. Obstfeld and Taylor, Global Capital Markets, 18.

50. Ibid.

51. Kohn, “Capital Market before 1600”,20; Neal, “Historical Development”,62.

52. Obstfeld and Taylor, Global Capital Markets, 19.

53. Neal, “Historical Development”,62-63.

54. Michie, “Development of Stock Markets”,662-663.

55. Neal, “Historical Development”,63.

56. Kohn, “Capital Market before 1600”,20-21.

57. O bstfeld and Taylor, Global Capital Markets, 20; Neal, “Historical Development”,65.

58. Neal, “Historical Development”,62-65.

59. Obstfeld and Taylor, Global Capital Markets, 19.

60. London Stock Exchange, “Our History”,accessed October 2014, http://www. londonstockexchange.com/about-the-exchange /company-overview/our-history/our-history.htm.

61. Neal, “Historical Development”,65.

62. Obstfeld and Taylor, Global Capital Markets, 19.

63. Ibid., 20.

64. Neal, “Historical Development”,64-71; Obstfeld and Taylor, Global Capital Markets, 22.

65. Michie, “Development of Stock Markets”,662.

66. Julie Jefferies, “The UK Population: Past, Present and Future”,Office for National Statistics (UK), last modified December 2005, http:// www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/fertility-analysis/focus-on-people-and -migration/december-2005/focus-on-people-and-migration—focus-on -people-and-migration—chapter-1.pdf, 3.

67. Neal, “Historical Development”,71-74; Michie, “Development of Stock Markets”,663; London Stock Exchange, “Our History”; Obstfeld and Taylor, Global Capital Markets, 19.

68. Joseph J. Ellis, His Excellency: George Washington (New York: Knopf, 2004), 303-304.

69. Stuart Banner, “The Origin of the New York Stock Exchange, 1791-1860”,Journal of Legal Studies 27, no. 1 (January 1998): 115.

70. Ibid., 115.

71. Robert Sobel, The Curbstone Brokers: The Origins of the American Stock Exchange (London: Macmillan, 1970), 24-29.

72. New York Stock Exchange, “New York Stock Exchange Ends Member Seat Sales Today”,December 30, 2013, http://www1.nyse.com /press/1135856420824.html.

73. Matthew A. Postal, “New York Curb Exchange (Incorporating the New York Curb Market Building), Later Known as the American Stock Exchange”,New York City Landmarks Preservation Commission, June 26, 2012, http://www.nyc.gov/html/lpc/downloads/pdf /reports/2515.pdf, 2-3.

74. Jerry W. Markham, A Financial History of the United States, vol. 2, From J. P. Morgan to the Institutional Investor (1900-1970) (Armonk, NY: Sharpe, 2002), 3.

75. Postal, “New York Curb Exchange”,1-3 and 7.

76. Daniel Verdier, “Financial Capital Mobility and the Origins of Stock Markets” (working paper, European University Institute, San Domenico, Italy, February 1999), 4 and 11.

77. Michie, “Development of Stock Markets”,663.

78. New York Stock Exchange, “Timeline—Technology,” accessed October 2014, http://www1.nyse.com/about/history/timeline_technology.html; David Hochfelder, “How Bucket Shops Lured the Masses into the Market”,BloombergView, January 10, 2013, http://www.bloombergview.com /articles/2013-01-10/how-bucket-shops-lured-the-masses-into-the -market.

79. Obstfeld and Taylor, Global Capital Markets, 23.

80. Ibid., 22-24.

81. Michie, “Development of Stock Markets”,663-664.

82. Hochfelder, “Bucket Shops”.

83. Ibid.

84. Janice M. Traflet, A Nation of Small Shareholders: Marketing Wall Street after World War II, Studies in Industry and Society (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2013), 3 and 179n15.

85. Lewis Henry Kimmel, Share Ownership in the United States (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, 1952), 137.

86. Traflet, Nation of Small Shareholders, 3-4.

87. Ibid., 4.

88. Kimmel, Share Ownership, 89.

89. Ibid., 125.

90. Ibid., 118.

91. Ibid., 90-98 and 121.

92. Traflet, Nation of Small Shareholders, 5-12.

93. Ibid., 1-12.

94. Ibid., 1.

95. New York Stock Exchange, “Highlights of NYSE Shareowner Census Reports (1952-1990)”,accessed October 2014, http://www.nyxdata. com/nysedata/asp/factbook/viewer_edition.asp?mode=table&key=231 2&category=11.

96. Traflet, Nation of Small Shareholders, 1.

97. Kimmel, Share Ownership; New York Stock Exchange, “Major Sources of NYSE Volume”,accessed October 2014, http://www.nyxdata.com /nysedata/asp/factbook/viewer_edition.asp?mode=table&key=2641&c ategory=11.

98. Traflet, Nation of Small Shareholders, 1-5.

99. Jesse Bricker et al., “Changes in U.S. Family Finances from 2007 to 2010: Evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances”,Federal Reserve Bulletin 98, no. 2 (June 2012): 28-34.

100. New York Stock Exchange, “Shareowner Census Reports.”

101. Ibid.; New York Stock Exchange, “Selected Characteristics of Individual Shareowners”,accessed October 2014, http://www.nyxdata.com /nysedata/asp/factbook/viewer_edition.asp?mode=chart&key=51&category=11.

102. James McAndrews and Chris Stefanadis, “The Consolidation of European Stock Exchanges”,Current Issues in Economics and Finance 8, no.6 (June 2002): 2-5.

103. Ibid., 4-5.

104. London Stock Exchange, “Our History.”

105. New York Stock Exchange, “Timeline—Events”,accessed October 2014, http://www1.nyse.com/about/history/timeline_events.html; Robert E. Wright, “The NYSE's Long History of Mergers and Rivalries”,BloombergView, January 8, 2013, http://www.bloombergview. com/articles/2013-01-08/nyse-s-long-history-of-mergers-and-rivalries.

106. Deutsche börse Group, “Company History”,accessed October 2014, http://deutsche-boerse.com/dbg/dispatch/en/kir/dbg_nav /about_us/10_Deutsche_Boerse_Group/50_Company_History.

107. Michie, “Development of Stock Markets”,665; Michie, Global Securities Market, 12-14; Neal, “Historical Development”,77; Obstfeld and Taylor, Global Capital Markets, 15-16.

108. Obstfeld and Taylor, Global Capital Markets, 15-16.

109. Michael Gorham and Nidhi Singh, Electronic Exchanges: The Global Transformation from Pits to Bits (Burlington, MA: Elsevier, 2009), 67-71.

110. Michie, “Development of Stock Markets”,665-667.

111. Verdier, “Financial Capital Mobility”,6-10.

112. Michie, Global Securities Market, vi.

113. Neal, “Historical Development”,60.

114. Michie, Global Securities Market, vi and 334-340.

115. Michie, “Development of Stock Markets”,663.

116. “The Endangered Public Company”,Economist, May 19, 2012, http:// www. economist. com/node/21555562.

第三章 退休及养老金

1. LIMRA Secure Retirement Institute, “Retirement Plans—Investment Company Institute: Retirement Assets on the Rise in 2014”,October 2014, http://www.limra.com/Secure_Retirement_Institute/News_Center /Retirement_Industry_Report/Retirement_Plans_-_Investment_Company_Institute_ Retirement_Assets_on_the_Rise_in_2014.aspx.

2. Carole Haber and Brian Gratton, Old Age and the Search for Security: An American Social History (Bloomington, IN: Indiana University Press, 1994), 118.

3. Ibid.

4. Lawrence W. Kennedy, Planning the City upon a Hill: Boston since 1630 (Amherst: University of Massachusetts Press, 1992), Appendix A.

5. Haber and Gratton, Old Age and Security, 118-123.

6. Historical Center of the Presbyterian Church in America, “January 11: Presbyterian Ministers Fund”,January 11, 2012, http://www.thisday. pcahistory.org/2012/01/january-11; Richard Webster, A History of the Presbyterian Church in America, from Its Origin to the Year 1760 (Philadelphia: Joseph M. Wilson, 1857), 92.

7. “The Oldest Life Insurance Company in the United States”,New York Times, November 19, 1905, http://timesmachine.nytimes.com /timesmachine/1905/11/19/101709385.html.

8. Ibid.

9. George Alter, Claudia Goldin, and Elyce Rotella, “The Savings of Ordinary Americans: The Philadelphia Saving Fund Society in the Mid-Nineteenth Century”,Journal of Economic History 54, no. 4 (December 1994): 736-738.

10. Ibid., 757-760.

11. Chulhee Lee, “Sectoral Shift and the Labor-Force Participation of Older Males in the United States, 1880-1940”,Journal of Economic History 62, no. 2 (June 2002): 520.

12. Ibid., 521.

13. Dora L. Costa, “Pensions and Retirement: Evidence from Union Army Veterans”,Quarterly Journal of Economics 110, no. 2 (May 1995): 315-317.

14. Chulhee Lee, “The Expected Length of Male Retirement in the United States, 1850-1990”,Journal of Population Economics 14, no. 4 (December 2001): 641-647.

15. Ibid., 647.

16. Steven A. Sass, The Promise of Private Pensions: The First Hundred Years (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1997), 145-146.

17. Ibid.

18. Ibid., 145-147.

19. Social Security Administration, “Social Insurance Movement”,accessed January 2015, http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/trinfo.html.

20. Mary-Lou Weisman, “The History of Retirement: From Early Man to A.A.R.P.”,New York Times, March 21, 1999, http://www.nytimes .com/1999/03/21/jobs/the-history-of-retirement-from-early-man-to -aarp.html.

21. Social Welfare History Project, “Townsend, Dr. Francis”,accessed 2013, http://www.socialwelfarehistory.com/eras/townsend-dr-francis; Larry DeWitt, “The Townsend Plan's Pension Scheme”,Social Security Administration, December 2001, http://www.ssa.gov/history /townsendproblems.html; Sass, Promise of Private Pensions, 94.

22. Larry DeWitt, “The 1937 Supreme Court Rulings on the Social Security Act”,Social Security Administration, 1999, http://www.ssa.gov /history/court.html.

23. Social Security Administration, “Otto von Bismarck”,accessed 2013, http://www.ssa.gov/history/ottob.html; Weisman, “History of Retirement”.

24. Social Security Administration, “Historical Background and Development of Social Security”,accessed December 2014, http://www.ssa .gov/history/briefhistory3.html; “Age 65 Retirement”,Social Security Administration, accessed 2013, http://www.ssa.gov/history/age65 .html; Weisman, “History of Retirement”.

25. “Age 65 Retirement.”

26. Sass, Promise of Private Pensions, 113-115.

27. Patrick Purcell and Jennifer Staman, “Summary of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA)”,Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress, Washington, DC, April 10, 2008, http:// digitalcommons.ilr.cornell.edu/key_workplace/505, 2.

28. James Wooten, The Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974: A Political History (Berkeley: University of California Press, 2005), 51-52.

29. Ibid., 62.

30. Ibid., 183-185.

31. Ibid., 58-59.

32. Ibid., 52 and 251.

33. Charles D. Ellis, Capital: The Story of Long-Term Investment Excellence(Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2004), 146-147.

34. Ibid., 149.

35. Ibid., 148-149.

36. Ibid., 150-151.

37. Purcell and Staman, “Summary of ERISA”,3-5.

38. LIMRA Security Retirement Institute, “Retirement Plans”.

39. Jim Saxton, “The Roots of Broadened Stock Ownership”,Joint Economic Committee, US Congress, April 2000, http://cog.kent.edu/lib /Hall&Congress-Roots of Broadened Stock Ownership.pdf, 4-14.

40. Ibid., 6.

41. Matteo Iacoviello, “Housing Wealth and Consumption” (working paper, Department of Economics, Boston College, Boston, MA, June 13, 2010), http://www2.bc.edu/matteo-iacoviello/research_files/HWAC.pdf, 4.

42. Brigitte C. Madrian and Dennis F. Shea, “The Power of Suggestion: Inertia in 401(k) Participation and Savings Behavior”,Quarterly Journal of Economics 116, no. 4 (November 2001): 1150-1153 and 1160.

43. Ibid., 1184-1185.

44. “The U.S. Retirement Market, First Quarter 2011”,Investment Company Institute, June 29, 2011, http://www.ici.org/pdf/ret_11_q1_data .pdf, 2.

45. Robert Steyer, “ICI: U.S. Retirement Assets Hit Record $20.8 Trillion”, Pensions & Investments, June 26, 2013, http://www.pionline.com /article/20130626/ONLINE/130629908/ici-us-retirement -assets-hit-record-208-trillion.

46. “Retirement Market, First Quarter 2011”,2.

47. James M. Poterba, Steven F. Venti, and David A. Wise, “The Transition to Personal Accounts and Increasing Retirement Wealth: Macro and Micro Evidence” (NBER Working Paper 8610, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, November 2001), http://www.nber .org/papers/w8610.pdf, Abstract.

第四章 新客户与新投资方式

1. Nobel Media AB, “The Prize in Economics 1985—Press Release”,1985, accessed 2013, http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/1985/press.html. For the original work and quote provided, see John Maynard Keynes, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (London: Macmillan, 1936), 96.

2. Nobel Me 5. Fraud, Market Manipulation, and Insider Trading dia AB, “Prize in Economics 1985—Press Release”; Angus Deaton, “Franco Modigliani and the Life Cycle Theory of Consumption” (speech, Convegno Internazionale Franco Modgliani, Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei, Rome, February 17-18, 2005), http://www .princeton.edu/~deaton/downloads/romelecture.pdf, 1-2 and 6. For the original works, see Franco Modigliani and Richard H. Brumberg, “Utility Analysis and the Consumption Function: An Interpretation of Cross-Section Data”,in Post-Keynesian Economics, ed. Kenneth K. Kurihara (New Brunswick, NJ: Rutgers University Press, 1954), 388- 436; Franco Modigliani and Richard H. Brumberg, “Utility Analysis and Aggregate Consumption Functions: An Attempt at Integration”,in The Collected Papers of Franco Modigliani, ed. Andrew Abel, vol. 2, The Life Cycle Hypothesis of Saving (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1990), 128-197.

3. Nobel Media AB, “Prize in Economics 1985—Press Release”; Deaton, “Modigliani and the Life Cycle Theory”,9. For the original work,see Milton Friedman, A Theory of the Consumption Function (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1957).

4. Deaton, “Modigliani and the Life Cycle Theory”,7-8 and 16-18.

5. Investment Company Institute, 2013 Investment Company Fact Book, accessed 2014, http://www.ici.org/pdf/2013_factbook.pdf, 117; James Wooten, The Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974: A Political History (Berkeley: University of California Press, 2005), 51–52 and 251.

6. Matteo Tonello and Stephan Rabimov, “The 2010 Institutional Investment Report: Trends in Asset Allocation and Portfolio Composition” (Research Report R-1468-10-RR, The Conference Board, New York, NY, 2010), http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract _id=1707512, 22.

7. David Swensen, Pioneering Portfolio Management: An Unconventional Approach to Institutional Investment, rev. ed. (New York: Free Press, 2009), 17.

8. Ibid.

9. National Association of College and University Business Officers (NACUBO), and Commondfund Institute, “Average Annual Effective Spending Rates, 2011 to 2002”,2011 NACUBO-Commonfund Study of Endowments, 2012, http://www.nacubo.org/Documents /research/2011_NCSE_Public_Tables_Spending_Rates_Final _January_18_2012.pdf.

10. Uniform Law Commission, “Prudent Management of Institutional Funds Act Summary”,accessed 2014, http://uniformlaws.org /ActSummary.aspx?title=Prudent%20Management%20 of %20 Institutional%20Funds%20Act.

11. Swensen, Pioneering Portfolio Management, 63.

12. National Association of College and University Business Officers (NACUBO) and Commonfund Institute, “Educational Endowments Returned an Average of 19.2% in FY2011”,2011 NACUBO-Commonfund Study of Endowments, 2012,http://www.nacubo.org/Documents /research/2011_NCSE_Press_Release_Final_Embargo_1_31_12.pdf, 7.

13. Paul Arnsberger et al., “A History of the Tax-Exempt Sector: An SOI Perspective”, Statistics of Income Bulletin (Internal Revenue Service, US Department of the Treasury), Winter 2008, http://www.irs.gov/pub /irs-soi/tehistory.pdf, 105.

14. Encyclopaedia Britannica, “Margaret Olivia Slocum Sage”,accessed January 2015, http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/516233/Margaret-Olivia-Slocum-Sage; Encyclopaedia Britannica, “Russell Sage”,accessed January 2015, http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked /topic/516237/Russell-Sage; “Working Women, 1800-1930: The Russell Sage Foundation and the Pittsburgh Survey”,Harvard Library Collections, accessed January 2015, http://ocp.hul.harvard.edu/ww /rsf.html.

15. Carnegie Corporation of New York, “Founding and Early Years”,accessed 2014, http://carnegie.org/about-us/foundation-history/founding-and-early-years; Carnegie Corporation of New York, “Foundation History”,accessed 2015, http://carnegie.org/about-us/mission-and-vision/foundation- history; Carnegie Corporation of New York,“Programs”, accessed 2015, http://carnegie.org/programs.

16. R ockefeller Foundation, “Our History: A Powerful Legacy”,accessed July 8, 2014, http://www.rockefellerfoundation.org/about-us/our-history.

17. Arnsberger et al., “History of the Tax-Exempt Sector”,107.

18. Ibid., 107-108 and 110.

19. Amy S. Blackwood, Katie L. Roeger, and Sarah L. Pettijohn, “The Nonprofit Sector in Brief: Public Charities, Giving, and Volunteering,2012”,Urban Institute, accessed 2014,http://www.urban.org/UploadedPDF/412674-The-Nonprofit-Sector-in-Brief.pdf, 5.

20. Richard Sansing and Robert Yetman, “Distribution Policies of Private Foundations” (Working Paper 02-20, McGladrey Institute of Accounting Education and Research, Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, October 2002), http://tippie.uiowa.edu /accounting/mcgladrey/workingpapers/02-20.pdf, 1-2.

21. Charles Piller, “Foundations Align Investments with Their Charitable Goals”,Los Angeles Times, December 29, 2007, http://articles.latimes .com/2007/dec/29/business/fi-foundation29.

22. Steven Lawrence and Reina Mukai, “Key Facts on Mission Investing”,Foundation Center, October 2011, http://foundationcenter.org/gainknowledge/research/pdf/keyfacts_missioninvesting2011.pdf, 1.

23. Foundation Center, “Quick Facts on U.S. Non-Profits”,accessed 2015, http://foundationcenter.org/gainknowledge/research/keyfacts2014 /foundation-focus.html.

24. Gokhan Afyonoglu et al., “The Brave New World of Sovereign Wealth Funds”,Lauder Institute of Management & International Studies, University of Pennsylvania, 2010, http://d1c25a6gwz7q5e. cloudfront.net/papers/download/052810_Lauder_Sovereign_Wealth _Fund_report_2010.pdf, 1n2.

25. Sovereign Wealth Fund Institute, “Sovereign Wealth Funds Make Up More than 25% of U.S. Retirement Assets”,March 27, 2014, http:// www.swfinstitute.org/swf-article/sovereign-wealth-funds-make -up-more-than-25-of-u-s-retirement-assets.

26. Afyonoglu et al., “Brave New World”,10.

27. Ashby H. B. Monk, “Is CalPERS a Sovereign Wealth Fund?” (Working Paper 8-21, Center for Retirement Research, Boston College, Boston, MA, December 2008), http://crr.bc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2008/12 /IB_8-21.pdf, 4.

28. Afyonoglu et al., “Brave New World”,10-11.

29. Sovereign Wealth Center, “Kuwait Investment Authority”,Institutional Investor, accessed July 8, 2014, http://www.sovereignwealthcenter .com/fund/17/Kuwait-Investment-Authority.html.

30. Afyonoglu et al., “Brave New World”,11.

31. Ibid., 12.

32. “What is a SWF?”accessed July 8, 2014, http://www.swfinstitute.org /sovereign-wealth-fund.

33. Lixia Loh, Sovereign Wealth Funds: States Buying the World (Cranbrook, UK: Global Professional Publishing, 2010), 72-73.

34. Jerry W. Markham, A Financial History of the United States, vol. 1, From Christopher Columbus to the Robber Barons (1492-1900) (Armonk, NY: Sharpe, 2002), 182.

35. Thomas Kabele, “James Dodson, First Lecture on Insurances, 1757: Discussion”,Kabele and Associates (New Canaan, CT), May 2, 2008, http://www.kabele.us/papers/dodsonms2.pdf, 1.

36. Aviva, “Amicable Society: Company History”,accessed January 2015, http://www.aviva.com/about-us/heritage/companies/amicablesociety; M. E. Ogborn, “Professional Name of the Actuary”,Journal of the Institute of the Actuaries 82, no. 2 (September 1956): 235.

37. Encyclopaedia Britannica, “Married Women's Property Acts”,accessed January 2015, http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/366305 /Married-Womens-Property-Acts; Sharon Ann Murphy, “Life Insurance in the United States Through World War I”,in Encyclopedia of Economic and Business History, edited by Robert Whaples, Economic History Association, August 14, 2002, http://eh.net/encyclopedia /life-insurance-in-the-united-states-through-world-war-i.

38. Murphy,Life Insurance in the United States.

39. American Council of Life Insurers (ACLI), 2011 Life Insurers Fact Book (Washington, DC: American Council of Life Insurers, 2011), 63.

40. ACLI, 2011 Life Insurers Fact Book, 1-3.

41. Ibid., 9.

42. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), An Examination of the Banking Crises of the 1980s and Early 1990s, vol. 1 of History of the Eighties: Lessons for the Future (Washington, DC: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, 1997), 211-212.

43. FDIC, Examination of the Banking Crises, 230; Congressional Budget Office (CBO), The Economic Effects of the Savings and Loan Crisis (Washington, DC: Congressional Budget Office, 1992), 7.

44. FDIC, Examination of the Banking Crises, 221-222.

45. CBO, The Economic Effects of the Savings and Loan Crisis, 7-8.

46. FDIC, Examination of the Banking Crises, 231.

47. Ibid., 225-227.

48. Ibid., 232.

49. Timothy Curry and Lynn Shibut, “The Cost of the Savings and Loan Crisis: Truth and Consequences”,FDIC Banking Review 13, no. 2 (2000): 30-33.

50. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, “Money Stock Measures—H.6”,July 3, 2014, http://www.federalreserve.gov /RELEASES/h6/20140703; R. Alton Gilbert, “Requiem for Regulation Q: What It Did and Why It Passed Away”,Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, February 1986, https://research.stlouisfed.org /publications/review/86/02/Requiem_Feb1986.pdf, 34-35.

51. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Money Stock Measures—H.6.

52. Mike Martinez et al., Vault Career Guide to Private Wealth Management (New York: Vault, 2006), 10.

53. Kopin Tan, “An Upbeat View from JPMorgan's Private Bank”,Barron's, May 19, 2012, http://online.barrons.com/news/articles/SB50001424 05311190437000457739226 0986818168.

54. Ibid.; Geraldine Fabrikant, “Making Sure the Rich Stay Rich, Even in Crisis”,New York Times, October 7, 2001, http://www.nytimes .com/2001/10/07/business/making-sure-the-rich-stay-rich-even-in -crisis.html.

55. JPMorgan Chase & Co., Annual Report 2013, April 9, 2014, http:// investor. shareholder.com/jpmorganchase/annual.cfm.

56. K. Geert Rouwenhorst, “The Origins of Mutual Funds” (Working Paper 04-48, International Center for Finance, Yale School of Management, Yale University, New Haven, CT, December 2004), http://ssrn.com /abstract=636146, 15.

57. K. Geert Rouwenhorst, “The Origins of Mutual Funds”,in The Origins of Value: The Financial Innovations That Created Modern Capital Markets, ed. William N. Goetzmann and K. Geert Rouwenhorst (New York: Oxford University Press, 2005), 254.

58. Rouwenhorst, “Origins of Mutual Funds” (2004), 11.

59. Morningstar, “MFS Massachusetts Investors Tr A (MITTX): Performance”,accessed 2014, http://performance.morningstar.com/fund /performance-return.action?t=MITTX.

60. Jason Zweig, “Risks and Riches”,Money 28, no. 4 (April 1999): 94-101.

61. Wharton School of Finance and Commerce, A Study of Mutual Funds, H.R. Rep. No. 87-2274 (1962), 37.

62. Ibid., 38.

63. Investment Company Institute, “Appendix A: How Mutual Funds and Investment Companies Operate: The Origins of Pooled Investing”,in 2006 Investment Company Fact Book, accessed 2014, http://www .icifactbook.org/2006/06_fb_appa.html.

64. Clifford E. Kirsch and Bibb L. Strench, “Mutual Funds”,in Financial Product Fundamentals: Law, Business, Compliance, ed. Clifford E. Kirsch, 2nd ed. (New York: Practising Law Institute, 2013), 6-4.

65. Investment Company Institute, “Appendix A”.

66. W. John McGuire, “The Investment Company Act of 1940”,Morgan, Lewis & Bockius, 2005, http://www.morganlewis.com/pubs /Investment%20Company%20Act%20Powerpoint.pdf, slides 11-12.

67. Ibid., slide 10.

68. Matthew P. Fink, The Rise of Mutual Funds: An Insider's View, 2nd ed. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2011), 57.

69. Hugh Bullock, The Story of Investment Companies (New York: Columbia University Press, 1959), 101.

70. Donald Christensen, Surviving the Coming Mutual Fund Crisis (New York: Little, Brown, 1995), 60.

71. Barry P. Barbash, “Remembering the Past: Mutual Funds and the Lessons of the Wonder Years” (speech, ICI Securities Law Procedures Conference, Washington, DC, December 4, 1997), www.sec.gov/news /speech/speecharchive/1997/spch199.txt.

72. Fink, Rise of Mutual Funds, 80-81.

73. Investment Company Institute, 2013 Investment Company Fact Book, 24-25.

74. Investment Company Institute, “Recent Mutual Fund Trends”,in 2014 Investment Company Fact Book, accessed 2014, http://www.icifactbook. org/fb_ch2.html.

第五章 欺诈、市场操纵与内幕交易

1. Steve Fishman, “The Monster Mensch”,New York, February 22, 2009, http://nymag.com/news/businessfinance/54703; Aaron Smith, “Madoff Arrives at N.C. Prison”,CNN Money, July 14, 2009, http:// money.cnn.com/2009/07/14/news/economy/madoff_prison _transfer; Patricia Hurtado, “Andrew, Ruth Madoff Say Were Unaware of $65 Billion Fraud Until Confession”,Bloomberg Businessweek, November 8, 2011, http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-11-08 /andrew-ruth-madoff-say-they-were-unaware-of-65-billion-fraud.html.

2. Hurtado, “Andrew, Ruth Madoff Say Were Unaware.

3. Andrew Clark, “Bernard Madoff's Sons Say: We're Victims Too”,The Guardian, March 17, 2010, http://www.theguardian.com /business/2010/mar/17/bernard-madoff-usa; Christopher Matthews, “Five Former Employees of Bernie Madoff Found Guilty of Fraud”,Wall Street Journal, March 25, 2014, http://online.wsj.com/news/articles /SB1000 142405270230 46794045794 59551977535482.

4. Alison Gendar, “Bernie Madoff Baffled by SEC Blunders: Compares Agency's Bumbling Actions to Lt. Colombo”,Daily News (New York), October 30, 2009, http://www. nydailynews.com/news/crime/bernie -madoff-baffled-sec-blunders-compares-agency-bumbling-actions-lt -colombo-article-1.382446.

5. Hurtado, “Andrew, Ruth Madoff Say Were Unaware.”

6. Bernard Madoff, “Text of Bernard Madoff's Court Statement”,National Public Radio, March 12, 2009, http://www.npr.org/templates/story /story.php?storyId=101816470.

7. David S. Hilzenrath, “Former Madoff Trader David Kugel Pleads Guilty to Fraud”,Washington Post, November 21, 2011, http://www .washingtonpost.com/business/economy/former-madoff-trader-david -kugel-pleads-guilty-to-fraud/2011/11/21/gIQATSFLjN_story.html.

8. Brian Ross, The Madoff Chronicles: Inside the Secret World of Bernie and Ruth (New York: Hyperion, 2009), 25.

9. Harry Markopolos, Harry Markopolos to US Securities and Exchange Commission, “The World's Largest Hedge Fund Is a Fraud”,November 7, 2005, http://online.wsj.com/documents/Madoff_SECdocs_20081217. pdf, 2.

10. “Jewish Reaction to Madoff Scandal” (transcript), Religion and Ethics Newsweekly, produced by Thirteen/WNET New York, PBS, March 20, 2009, http://www.pbs.org/wnet/religionandethics/2009/03/20 /march-20-2009-jewish-reaction-to-madoff-scandal/2474.

11. David Glovin, “Bernard Madoff's Accountant Friehling Pleads Guilty (Update 2)”, Bloomberg News, November 3, 2009, http:// www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ah_xWloo7TTE.

12. Ibid.; Alyssa Abkowitz,“Madoff's Auditor…Doesn't Audit?”,CNN Money, December 19, 2008, http://archive.fortune.com/2008/12/17 /news/companies/madoff.auditor.fortune/index.htm.

13. Glovin, “Friehling Pleads Guilty”.

14. Ross Kerber, “The Whistleblower”,Boston Globe, January 8, 2009, http://www.boston.com/business/articles/2009/01/08/the_whistleblower.

15. Harry Markopolos to US Securities and Exchange Commission, 5.

16. Carole Bernard and Phelim Boyle, “Mr. Madoff's Amazing Returns: An Analysis of the Split-Strike Conversion Strategy”,Journal of Derivatives 17, no. 1 (Fall 2009): 62-76.

17. Harry Markopolos to US Securities and Exchange Commission, 1-2.

18. Ibid., 1.

19. Ibid.

20. Securities and Exchange Commission, “Investigation of Failure of the SEC to Uncover Bernard Madoff's Ponzi Scheme—Public Version” (Report No. OIG-509), Office of Investigations, US Securities and Exchange Commission, August 31, 2009, http://www.sec.gov/news /studies/2009/oig-509.pdf, 21-22.

21. Securities and Exchange Commission, “Post-Madoff Reforms”,accessed September 2014, http://www.sec.gov/spotlight/secpostmadoffreforms .htm.

22. Ibid.

23. Jeanine Ibrahim, “Allen Stanford: Descent from Billionaire to Inmate #35017-183”,CNBC, October 5, 2012, http://www.cnbc.com/id /49276842.

24. Matthew Goldstein, “Stanford's Failed Health Club”,Unstructured Finance (blog), Bloomberg Businessweek, February 13, 2009, http://www.businessweek.com/investing/wall_street_news_blog/archives/2009/02/stanfords_faile.html; Matthew Goldstein, “Stanford's Rocky Start”,Bloomberg Businessweek, March 3, 2009, http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/mar2009 /db2009033_ 601499.htm.

25. Goldstein, “Stanford's Rocky Start.”

26. Ibrahim, “Allen Stanford: Descent.”

27. Anna Driver and Eileen O’Grady, “Allen Stanford Sentenced to 110 Years in Prison”,Reuters, June 14, 2012, http://www.reuters.com/article /2012/06/14/us-stanford-sentencing-idUSBRE85D17720120614.

28. Ibrahim, “Allen Stanford: Descent.”

29. Goldstein, “Stanford's Rocky Start.”

30. Clifford Krauss, “Stanford Sentenced to 110-Year Term in $7 Billion Ponzi Case”,New York Times, June 14, 2012, http://www.nytimes .com/2012/06/15/business/stanford-sentenced-to-110-years-in-jail-in -fraud-case.html.

31. Ibrahim, “Allen Stanford: Descent.”

32. Driver and O’Grady, “Allen Stanford Sentenced.”

33. Krauss, “Stanford Sentenced to 110-Year Term.”

34. Mary Darby, “In Ponzi We Trust”,Smithsonian Magazine, December 1998, http://www.smithsonianmag.com/people-places/in-ponzi -we-trust-64016168; Louis L. Straney, Securities Fraud: Detection, Prevention and Control (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2010), 81; William Nana Wiafe Jr., The New Competitive Strategy: The Ultimate Business Strategy That Gets Superior Results and Builds Business Empires (n.p.: Xlibris, 2011), 39.

35. Straney, Securities Fraud, 81.

36. Darby, “In Ponzi We Trust”; Straney, Securities Fraud, 82-83.

37. Darby, “In Ponzi We Trust”; Straney, Securities Fraud, 83.

38. Darby, “In Ponzi We Trust.”

39. Ibid.

40. Straney, Securities Fraud, 83.

41. Ponzi v. Fessenden, 258 U.S. 254 (1922).

42. Erin Skarda, “William Miller, the Original Schemer”,Time, March 7, 2012, http://content.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,288 04,2104982_2104983_2104992,00.html.

43. “A Century of Ponzi Schemes”,DealBook (blog), New York Times, December 15, 2008, http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2008/12/15/a-century-of -ponzi-schemes.

44. Skarda, “William Miller.”

45. Darby, “In Ponzi We Trust.”

46. John Steele Gordon, “Pyramid Schemes Are as American as Apple Pie”,Wall Street Journal, December 17, 2008, http://online.wsj.com/news /articles/SB122948144507313073.

47. Ibid.

48. Ibid.

49. Ibid.

50. Ibid.

51. Ibid.

52. “The Match King”,Economist, December 19, 2007, http://www.economist. com/node/ 10278667.

53. Torsten Kreuger, The Truth about Ivar Kreuger (Stuttgart: Seewald, 1968), 50.

54. Paul M. Clikeman, “The Greatest Frauds of the (Last) Century” (working paper, Robins School of Business, University of Richmond, Richmond, VA, May 2003), http://www.newaccountantusa.com/newsFeat /wealthManagement/Clikeman_Greatest_Frauds.pdf, 2.

55. Ibid.

56. Ibid.

57. Ibid., 2-3.

58. “The Match King.”

59. Ibid.; Kreuger, Truth about Ivar Kreuger, 63-64.

60. Clikeman, “Greatest Frauds”,3.

61. Paul M. Clikeman, Called to Account: Financial Frauds That Shaped the Accounting Profession, 2nd ed. (New York: Routledge, 2013), 38.

62. Kenneth L. Fisher, How to Smell a Rat: The Five Signs of Financial Fraud, with Lara Hoffmans (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2009), 167.

63. Cabell Phillips, From the Crash to the Blitz, 1929-1939 (New York: Fordham University Press, 2000), 30-31; Fisher, How to Smell a Rat, 167.

64. Fisher, How to Smell a Rat, 167.

65. Ibid., 167-168.

66. Ibid., 168-169.

67. Ibid., 167-169; John Brooks, Once in Golconda: A True Drama of Wall Street, 1920-1938 (New York: Harper & Row, 1969), 258.

68. James Bandler and Doris Burke, “70 Years before Madoff, There Was Whitney”,CNN Money, December 16, 2008, http://money.cnn .com/2008/12/16/news/madoff.whitney. fortune.

69. Fisher, How to Smell a Rat, 169.

70. Kurt A. Hohenstein, ed., “William O. Douglas and the Growing Power of the SEC”,Securities and Exchange Commission Historical Society, December 1, 2005, http://www.sechistorical.org/museum/galleries /douglas/index.php.

71. Ibid.

72. Ibid.

73. Kathleen M. Middleton, Bayonne Passages, Images of America (Charleston, SC: Arcadia, 2000), 146.

74. Norman C. Miller, The Great Salad Oil Swindle (New York: Coward McCann, 1965), 16-22.

75. Ibid., 17-18.

76. Middleton, Bayonne Passages, 146.

77. Miller, Salad Oil Swindle, 18.

78. George Childs Kohn, ed., The New Encyclopedia of American Scandal, rev. ed. (New York: Infobase, 2001), 161.

79. Miller, Salad Oil Swindle, 70-73.

80. Middleton, Bayonne Passages, 147-148.

81. Ibid.

82. Miller, Salad Oil Swindle, 142-146 and 183.

83. Kohn, Encyclopedia of American Scandal, 161.

84. Middleton, Bayonne Passages, 148.

85. Chris Barth, “Warren Buffett: Clairvoyant or Crazy?”Forbes, June 12, 2012, http://www.forbes.com/sites/chrisbarth/2012/06/12/warren -buffett-clairvoyant-or-crazy.

86. Kohn, Encyclopedia of American Scandal, 162.

87. Stephen G. Dimmock and William C. Gerken, “Finding Bernie Madoff: Detecting Fraud by Investment Managers” (working paper, 2011).

88. Stephen J. Brown and Onno W. Steenbeek, “Doubling: Nick Leeson's Trading Strategy”,Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 9, no. 2 (April 2001): 85-86.

89. Ibid., 86.

90. Nick Leeson, “Biography,” NickLeeson.com, accessed January 2015, http://www. nickleeson.com/biography/full_biography_02.html.

91. Martin Arnold et al., “How Kerviel Exposed Lax Controls at Société Générale”,Financial Times, February 7, 2008, http://www.ft.com /intl/cms/s/0/927fe998-d5b2-11dc-8b56-0000779fd2ac.html.

92. Ibid.

93. Ibid.

94. Sebastian Fritz-Morgenthal and Hagen Rafeld, “Breaking Down the Biggest Trading Fraud in the History of Banking”,Risk Professional, June 2010, 47-52, http://www.academia.edu/9042700/Breaking _Down_the_Biggest_Trading_Fraud_in_the_History_of_Banking.

95. Scott B. MacDonald and Jane E. Hughes, Separating Fools from Their Money: A History of American Financial Scandals (New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction, 2007), 16-17.

96. D avid J. Cowen, “William Duer and America's First Financial Scandal”,Financial History 97 (Spring 2010): 20-21.

97. Ibid., 21-22.

98. Ibid., 22.

99. Ibid., 23 and 35.

100. David J. Cowen, Richard Sylla, and Robert E. Wright, “The US Panic of 1792: Financial Crisis Management and the Lender of Last Resort” (paper presented at the XIV International Economic History Congress, Helsinki, Finland, August 2006), http://www.helsinki.fi /iehc2006/papers1/Sylla.pdf, 12-19.

101. Cowen, “William Duer”,35.

102. Timothy Starr, Railroad Wars of New York State (Charleston, SC: History Press, 2012), 112.

103. Ibid., 114.

104. Ibid., 114-116.

105. Robert C. Kennedy, “On This Day: March 30, 1872,” The Learning Network, New York Times, March 30, 2001, http://www.nytimes.com /learning/general/onthisday/harp/0330.html.

106. Starr, Railroad Wars, 123-130.

107. Kenneth L. Fisher, 100 Minds That Made the Market (Hoboken, NJ:Wiley, 2007), 250.

108. Ibid., 252-253.

109. Ibid., 252.

110. Robert Sobel, The Big Board: A History of the New York Stock Market,(New York, NY: Free Press, 1965), 329.

111. Fisher, 100 Minds, 251-252.

112. Ibid., 252.

113. Rajesh K. Aggarwal and Guojun Wu, “Stock Market Manipulations”,Journal of Business 79, no. 4 (July 2006): 1917.

114. Steve Lohr, “Guinness Scandal Roils Britain”,New York Times, January 30, 1987, http://www.nytimes.com/1987/01/30/business/guinness-scandal-roils-britain.html; Lynne Curry,“Guinness Brew-Haha in the City Lapping at Thatcher Government”, Christian Science Monitor, January 29, 1987, http://www.csmonitor.com/1987/0129/fmark29 .html.

115. Steve Lohr, “Hostile Offer by Argyll for Distillers”,New York Times, December 2, 1985, http://www.nytimes.com/1985/12/03/business /hostile-offer-by-argyll-for-distillers.html; Steve Lohr, “Guinness Offers to Buy Distillers for $3.2 Billion”,New York Times, January 20, 1986, http://www.nytimes.com/1986/01/21/business/guinness-offers-to -buy-distillers-for-3.2-billion.html.

116. “‘Guinness Four’ Guilty”,BBC News, August 27, 1990, http:// news.bbc. co.uk/onthisday/hi/dates/stories/august/27 /newsid_2536000/2536035.stm.

117. Lohr, “Guinness Scandal Roils Britain”.

118. Travers Smith, “The Takeovers Regime Under the Companies Act 2006: AIM-Listed Companies”,May 2007, http://www.traverssmith.com /media/602015/takeovers_regime_under_the_companies _act_2006_-_aim-listed_companies_-_may_2007.pdf.

119. “Timeline: Libor-Fixing Scandal”,BBC News, February 6, 2013, http://www. bbc.com/news/business-18671255.

120. Michael J. de la Merced, “Q. and A.: Understanding Libor”,Deal- Book (blog), New York Times, July 10, 2012, http://dealbook.nytimes .com/2012/07/10/q-and-a-understanding-libor.

121. Ibid.

122. Christopher Matthews, “LIBOR Scandal: Yep, It's as Bad as We Thought”,Time, December 20, 2012, http://business.time.com/2012 /12/20/libor-scandal-yep-its-as-bad-as-we-thought.

123. Andrea Tan, Gavin Finch, and Liam Vaughan, “RBS Instant Messages Show Libor Rates Skewed for Traders”,Bloomberg News, September 26, 2012, http://www. bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-25/rbs-instantmessages- show-libor-rates-skewed-for-traders.html.

124. V ikas Shah, “Andrew Lo on the LIBOR Scandal and What's Next”,All about Alpha.com, November 8, 2012, http://allaboutalpha.com /blog/2012/11/08/andrew-lo-on-the-libor-scandal-and-whats-next.

125. Liam Vaughan and Gavin Finch, “Libor Lies Revealed in Rigging of $300 Trillion Benchmark”,Bloomberg News, January 28, 2013, http:// www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-28/libor-lies-revealed-in-rigging -of-300-trillion-benchmark.html.

126. Dacher Keltner and Paul Piff, “Greed on Wall Street Prevents Good from Happening”,Room for Debate (blog), New York Times, March 16, 2012, http://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate /2012/03/15/does-morality-have-a-place-on-wall-street /greed-on-wall-street-prevents-good-from-happening.

127. Bob Greene, “A $100 Million Idea: Use Greed for Good”,Chicago Tribune, December 15, 1986, http://articles.chicagotribune .com/1986-12-15/features/8604030634_1_ivan-boeskys-greed-fund.

128. Bryan K. Ulmer, “Boesky, Ivan”,in Encyclopedia of White-Collar and Corporate Crime, ed. Lawrence M. Salinger (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 2005), 1:96.

129. Stephen Koepp, “‘Money Was the Only Way’”,Time, June 24, 2001, http://content.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,144026,00 .html.

130. Ulmer, “Boesky, Ivan”,1:97.

131. Koepp, “‘Money Was the Only Way’”; Ulmer, “Boesky, Ivan”,1:96.

132. Keith M. Moore, Risk Arbitrage: An Investor's Guide (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 1999), 7-10.

133. Koepp, “‘Money Was the Only Way.’”

134. James B. Stewart, Den of Thieves (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1992), 18-20.

135. Ibid., 164-165.

136. Ibid., 12 and 340.

137. Robert K. D. Colby, ed., “Wrestling with Reform: Financial Scandals and the Legislation They Inspired”,Securities and Exchange Commission Historical Society, May 1, 2013, http://www. sechistorical.org/museum /galleries/wwr/index.php.

138. Ulmer, “Boesky, Ivan,” 1:97.

139. Stewart, Den of Thieves, 431.

140.Susan Pulliam and Chad Bray, “Trader Draws Record Sentence”,Wall Street Journal, October 14, 2011, http://online.wsj.com/news /articles/SB10001424052970203914304576627191081876286.

141. Katherine Burton and Saijel Kishan, “Raj Rajaratnam Became Billionaire Demanding Edge”,Bloomberg News, October 19, 2009, http:// www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aDg9U7NG eNv4.

142. Michael J. de la Merced, “Taped Calls about Akamai Earnings Guidance Heard at Galleon Trial,” DealBook (Blog), New York Times, April 4, 2011, http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/04/04/focus-shifts -to-google-trade-at-galleon-trial.

143. Barney Gimbel, “Partners in Crime”,CNN Money, October 4, 2006, http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/2006 /10/02/8387505/index.htm.

144. Ibid.

145. Ibid.

146. Ibid.

147. Ibid.

148. Ferdinand Pecora, Wall Street Under Oath (New York: A. M. Kelley, 1939), quoted in Charles D. Ellis and James R. Vertin, True Stories of the Great Barons of Finance, vol. 2 of Wall Street People (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2003), 182-183.

149. Senate Committee on Banking and Currency, “Stock Exchange Practices” (S. Rep. No. 73-1455) (Washington, DC: Government Printing Office, 1934), http://www.senate.gov/artandhistory/history /common/investigations/pdf/Pecora_FinalReport.pdf, 187-189.

150. Ellis and Vertin, True Stories, 182.

151. Pecora, Wall Street Under Oath, quoted in Ellis and Vertin, True Stories, 188.

152. Jerry W. Markham, A Financial History of Modern US Corporate Scandals: From Enron to Reform (Armonk, NY: Sharpe, 2006), 377.

153. Kurt A. Hohenstein, ed., “Fair to All People: The SEC and the Regulation of Insider Trading”,Securities and Exchange Commission Historical Society, November 1, 2006, http://www.sechistorical.org/museum/galleries/it.

154. David Margolick, “William Carey [sic], Former S.E.C. Chairman, Dies at 72”,New York Times, February 9, 1983, http://www.nytimes .com/1983/02/09/obituaries/william-carey-former-sec-chairman -dies-at-72.html.

155. Ibid.

156. Donald C. Langevoort, “Rereading Cady, Roberts: The Ideology and Practice of Insider Trading Regulation”,Columbia Law Review 99, no. 5 (June 1999): 1319.

157. Stephen M. Bainbridge, ed., Research Handbook on Insider Trading (Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar, 2013), 3.

158. Ibid.

159. Philip McBride Johnson and Thomas Lee Hazen, Derivatives Regulation (New York: Aspen, 2004), 3:1522-1523.

160. Markham, Financial History, 378-379.

161. Bainbridge, Research Handbook, 3.

162. Hohenstein, “Fair to All People”.

163. Ibid.

164. Robert Schmidt and Jesse Hamilton, “SEC ‘Capacity Gap’ Risks Oversight Lapses as Regulator's Targets Multiply”,Bloomberg News, March 7, 2011, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-07/sec-capacity -gap-risks-oversight-lapses-as-regulator-s-targets-multiply.html.

165. James B. Stewart, “As a Watchdog Starves, Wall Street Is Tossed a Bone”,New York Times, July 15, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/07/16 /business/budget-cuts-to-sec-reduce-its-effectiveness.html.

166. Ibid.

第六章 周期性危机的管理进步

1.Philip S.Bagwell and G.E.Mingay, Britain and America, 1850-1939:A Study of Economic Change (New York: Praeger, 1970), 244-246.

2.J.R.Vernon, “The 1920-1921 Deflation: The Role of Aggregate Supply”,Economic Inquiry 29, no.3 (July 1991): 572-573.

3.Ibid., 573-574.

4.Charles H.Feinstein, Peter Temin, and Gianni Toniolo, The World Economy Between the World Wars (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 56.

5.Bagwell and Mingay,Britain and America, 246.

6.J.Bradford DeLong, “The Roaring Twenties”,in Slouching Towards Utopia? The Economic History of the Twentieth Century, February 1997, http://holtz.org/Library/Social%20Science/Economics/Slouching%20Towards%20Utopia%20by%20DeLong/Slouch _roaring13.html; Henry Cabot Lodge, “League of Nations”,American Memory, Library of Congress, accessed 2015, http://memory.loc.gov;Immigration Act of 1924, Pub.L.No.68-139, 43 Stat.153, http://library.uwb.edu/guides/usimmigration/43%20stat%20153.pdf.

7.DeLong,“Roaring Twenties.”

8.Ibid.

9.Kenneth L.Fisher, 100 Minds That Made the Market (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2007), 183-184; “The 1907 Crisis in Historical Perspective”,Center for History and Economics, Harvard University, accessed 2015,http://www.fas.harvard.edu/~histecon/crisis-next/1907.

10.Ibid., 184.

11.Anthony D’Agostino, The Rise of Global Powers: International Politics in the Era of the World Wars (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2012), 225.

12.Ibid., 226.

13.Federal Reserve Bank of New York, “George L.Harrison”,accessed January 2015, http://www.newyorkfed.org/aboutthefed/GHarrisonbio .html.

14.Claire Suddath, “The Crash of 1929”,Time, October 29, 2008, http://content.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1854569,00.html.

15.Karen Blumenthal, Six Days in October: The Stock Market Crash of 1929(New York: Simon and Schuster, 2002), 88.

16.Ibid., 88-89; “Exchange to Close for Two Days of Rest”,New York Times, October 31, 1929, http://partners.nytimes.com/library/financial/103129crash-close.html.

17.Harold Bierman Jr., The Causes of the 1929 Stock Market Crash: A Speculative Orgy or a New Era? (Westport, CT: Greenwood, 1998),4; Harold Bierman, “The 1929 Stock Market Crash”,in Encyclopedia of Economic and Business History, ed.Robert Whaples, Economic History Association, March 26, 2008, http://eh.net/encyclopedia/the-1929-stock-market-crash.

18.Capital Finance International, “Jesse Lauriston Livermore: The Boy Plunger”,February 20, 2014, http://cfi.co/banking/2014/02/jesse-lauriston-livermore-the-boy-plunger.

19.Bierman, Causes of the Crash, 6-7 and 13.

20.Gene Smiley, The American Economy in the Twentieth Century (Cincinnati:South-Western, 1994), 148-150.

21.D'Agostino, Rise of Global Powers, 227; Charles P.Kindleberger, TheWorld in Depression, 1929-1939, rev.ed.(Berkeley: University of California Press, 1986), 295-296.

22.Smiley, American Economy, 158-161.

23.Ibid., 151-154.

24.Ben S.Bernanke, “The Financial Accelerator and the Credit Channel”(speech, The Credit Channel of Monetary Policy in the Twenty-First Century Conference, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Atlanta, GA,June 15, 2007), http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20070615a.htm.

25.Franklin D.Roosevelt Presidential Library and Museum (FDR Library),“FDR: From Budget Balancer to Keynesian: A President's Evolving Approach to Fiscal Policy in Times of Crisis”,accessed 2013, http://www.fdrlibrary.marist.edu/aboutfdr/budget.html.

26.Herbert Hoover, “Statement on Efforts to Balance the Budget”,March 8, 1932, The American Presidency Project, http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=23478.

27.FDR Library, “Budget Balancer to Keynesian”.

28.Bruce Bartlett, “How Deficit Hawks Could Derail the Recovery”,Forbes, January 8, 2010, http://www.forbes.com/2010/01/07/deficit-great-depression-recovery-opinions-columnists-bruce-bartlett.html; FDR Library, “Budget Balancer to Keynesian.”

29.FDR Library, “Budget Balancer to Keynesian”.

30.Securities and Exchange Commission Historical Society, “431Days: Joseph P.Kennedy and the Creation of the SEC (1934-1935)”,accessed 2013, http://www.sechistorical.org/museum/galleries/kennedy/politicians_b.php; US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), “Laws That Govern the Securities Industry”,accessed January 2015, http://www.sec.gov/about/laws.shtml.

31.Matthew P.Fink, The Rise of Mutual Funds: An Insider's View, 2nd ed.(Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2011), 23-24.

32.SEC, “Laws that Govern the Securities Industry”.

33.“Topics: Glass-Steagall Act (1933)”,New York Times, accessed January 2015, http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/g/glass_steagall_act_1933/index.html.

34.Hyman P.Minsky, Stabilizing an Unstable Economy (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1986).

35.William Seyfried, “Monetary Policy and Housing Bubbles: A Multinational Perspective”,Research in Business and Economics Journal 2(March 2010), http://www.aabri.com/manuscripts/09351.pdf,1-2.

36.Kathryn J.Byun, “The US Housing Bubble and Bust: Impacts on Employment”,Monthly Labor Review (Bureau of Labor Statistics, US Department of Labor), December 2010, http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2010/12/art1full.pdf, 7.

37.Robert J.Shiller, “Understanding Recent Trends in House Prices and Home Ownership” (Working Paper 13553, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, October 2007), http://www.nber.org/papers/w13553.pdf, 3-7.

38.Walter Bagehot, Lombard Street: A Description of the Money Market (London: King, 1873).

39.Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, “Ben S.Bernanke”,accessed January 2015, http://www.federalreservehistory.org/People/DetailView/12; Phillip Y.Lipscy and Hirofumi Takinami, “The Politics of Financial Crisis Response in Japan and the United States”,Japanese Journal of Political Science 14, no.3 (September 2013): 331-335.

40.Baird Webel, “Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP): Implementation and Status”,Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress, Washington, DC, June 27, 2013, https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R41427.pdf, 1; “Treasury's Bailout Proposal”,CNN Money, September 20, 2008, http://money.cnn.com/2008/09/20/news/economy /treasury_proposal; US Department of the Treasury, “TARP Programs”,accessed January 2015, http://www.treasury.gov/initiatives/financial-stability/TARP-Programs/Pages/default.aspx; Congressional Budget Office, “Report on the Troubled Asset Relief Program—October 2012”,October 11, 2012, http://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/TARP10-2012_0.pdf, 1.

41.Michael A.Fletcher, “Obama Leaves D.C.to Sign Stimulus Bill”,Washington Post, February 18, 2009, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/02/17/AR2009021700221. html; Council of Economic Advisers, Executive Office of the President, “The Economic Impact of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act Five Years Later: Final Report to Congress”,February 2014, http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/docs/cea_arra_report.pdf, i.

42.Paul Krugman,“Too Little, Gone Too Soon”,Conscience of a Liberal (blog), New York Times, August 30, 2013, http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/08/30/too-little-gone-too-soon.

43.Paul Wiseman and Pallavi Gogoi, “FDIC Chief: Small Banks Can't Compete with Bailed-Out Giants”,USA Today, October 20, 2009, http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/money/industries/banking/2009-10-19-FDIC-chief-sheila-bair-banking_N.htm.

44.Frederic A.Schweikhard and Zoe Tsesmelidakis, “The Impact of Government Interventions on CDS and Equity Markets” (working paper,November 2012), http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1573377, 1-2.

45.Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, Pub.L.No.111-203, 124 Stat.1376-2223, “Title I: Financial Stability”,http://www.law.cornell.edu/wex/dodd-frank; US Department of the Treasury,“Financial Stability Oversight Council: Who Is on the Council?”,accessed January 2015, http://www.treasury.gov/initiatives/fsoc/about/council/Pages/default.aspx.

46.Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, “Press Release”,October 23, 2014, http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/bcreg/20141023a.htm.

47.Simon Johnson, “Sadly, Too Big to Fail Is Not Over”,Economix (blog),New York Times, August 1, 2013, http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/08/01/sadly-too-big-to-fail-is-not-over.

48.James B.Stewart, “Volcker Rule, Once Simple, Now Boggles”,New York Times, October 21, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/22/business/volcker-rule-grows-from-simple-to-complex.html.

49.Ibid.; Dan Kedmey, “2 Years and 900 Pages Later, the Volcker Rule Gets the Green Light”,TIME.com, December 11, 2013,http://business.time .com/2013/12/11/2-years-and-900-pages-later-the-volcker-rule-gets-the-green-light.

50.Carmen M.Reinhart and Kenneth S.Rogoff, This Time Is Different:Eight Centuries of Financial Folly (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2011), xliv-xlv and 238-239.

第七章 投资理论的出现

1.Jean-Michel Courtault et al., “Louis Bachelier on the Centenary of Théorie de la Spéculation,”Mathematical Finance 10, no.3(July 2000):342-343.

2.Ibid., 341-344.

3.Ibid., 346-347.

4.“Fisher, Irving” in Concise Encyclopedia of Economics, ed.David R.Henderson, Library of Economics and Liberty, 2008, http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/bios/Fisher.html.

5.“Out of Keynes's Shadow”,Economist, February 14, 2009, http://www. economist.com/node/13104022; David J.Lynch, “Economists Evoke the Spirit of Irving Fisher”,Bloomberg News, January 12, 2012, http://www.bloomberg.com/bw/magazine/economists-evoke-the-spirit-of-irving-fisher-01122012.html.

6.Irving Fisher, The Theory of Interest as Determined by Impatience to Spend Income and Opportunity to Invest It(New York: Macmillan, 1930), 151.

7.Ibid., 152.

8.Ibid., 155.

9.Peter L.Bernstein, Capital Ideas: The Improbable Origins of Modern Wall Street(New York: Free Press, 1992), 150-151.

10.Ibid., 153-154.

11.Ibid., 151-152.For the original work, see John Burr Williams, The Theory of Investment Value(Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1938).

12.K.P.Gupta, Cost Management: Measuring, Monitoring & Motivating Performance(Delhi: Global India Publications, 2009), 55.

13.Franco Modigliani and Merton H.Miller, “The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment”,American Economic Review 48, no.3(June 1958): 261-297.

14.Nobel Media AB, “The Prize in Economics 1985—Press Release”,1985,accessed 2013, http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel-prizes/economicsciences/laureates/1985/press.html; Nobel Media AB, “The Prize in Economics 1990—Press Release”,1990, accessed 2013, http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/1990/press.html.

15.Avinash Dixit, “Paul Samuelson's Legacy”,Annual Reviews of Economics 4(2012): 3-4.For the original work, see Paul A.Samuelson, Foundations of Economic Analysis(Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press,1947).

16.Bernstein, Capital Ideas, 22-23.

17.Donald MacKenzie, An Engine, Not a Camera: How Financial Models Shape Markets(Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2006), 64.

18.Dixit, “Samuelson's Legacy”,19-20.For the original works, see Paul A.Samuelson, “Rational Theory of Warrant Pricing”,Industrial Management Review 6, no.2(Spring 1965):13-39; Paul A.Samuelson and Robert C.Merton, “A Complete Model of Warrant Pricing that MaximizesUtility”,Industrial Management Review 10, no.2(Winter 1969):17-46.

19.Fischer Black and Myron Scholes, “The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities”,Journal of Political Economy 81, no.3(May-June 1973):637-654.

20.Fischer Black and Myron Scholes, “The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities”,Journal of Political Economy 81, no.3(May-June 1973):637-654.

21.Marion A.Brach, Real Options in Practice(Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2003),24.

22.Robert C.Merton, “Option Pricing When Underlying Stock Returns Are Discontinuous”,Journal of Financial Economics 3, no.1-2(January-March 1976): 125-144.

23.Steven G.Krantz and Harold R.Parks, A Mathematical Odyssey: Journey from the Real to the Complex(New York: Springer, 2014), 55.

24.Ecclesiastes 11:1-2(New International Version).

25.Bruce A.Valentine, “Shakespeare Revisited”,Financial Analysts Journal 21, no.3(May-June 1965), 91.

26.Harry Markowitz, “Harry M.Markowitz—Biographical”,Nobel Media AB, 1990, accessed 2013,http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/1990/markowitz-bio.html.

27.Bernstein, Capital Ideas, 46.

28.Markowitz, “Biographical.”

29.Ibid.

30.Harry Markowitz, “Portfolio Selection”,Journal of Finance 7, no.1(March 1952).

31.James Tobin, “Liquidity Preference as Behavior Towards Risk”,Review of Economic Studies 25, no.2(February 1958).

32.William F.Sharpe, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk”,Journal of Finance 19, no.3(September 1964): 425-442; John Lintner, “The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets”,Review of Economics and Statistics 47, no.1(February 1965): 13-37.

33.Eugene F.Fama and Kenneth R.French, “The Capital Asset Pricing Model: Theory and Evidence”,Journal of Economic Perspectives 18, no.3(Summer 2004): 25-28.

34.Eugene F.Fama and Kenneth R.French, “The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns”,Journal of Finance 47, no.2(June 1992): 445-446.

35.Ibid.

36.Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, “Alfred Cowles, 3rd(1891-1984)”,Yale University, accessed 2013, http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/archive/people/directors/cowles.htm.

37.Alfred Cowles III, “Can Stock Market Forecasters Forecast?”Econometrica1, no.3(July 1933): 309-323.

38.Ibid., 323.

39.Michael C.Jensen, “The Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period 1945-1964”,Journal of Finance 23, no.2(May 1968).

40.Ibid.

41.Eugene F.Fama, “Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work”,Journal of Finance 25, no.2(May 1970): 383.

42.Benjamin Graham and David L.Dodd, Security Analysis(New York: McGraw-Hill, 1934).

43.Benjamin Graham, The Intelligent Investor(New York: Harper, 1949).

44.Benjamin Graham, “A Conversation with Benjamin Graham”,Financial Analysts Journal 32, no.5(September-October 1976): 22.

45.Warren Buffett, “The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville”,Hermes(Columbia Business School), Fall 1984, 4-15.

46.Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk”,Econometrica 47, no.2(March 1979): 265-278.

47.Raniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk”,Econometrica 47, no.2(March 1979): 265-278.

48.Stephen J.Brown, William N.Goetzmann, and Stephen A.Ross,“Survival”,Journal of Finance 50, no.3(July 1995): 853-873.

49.Shlomo Benartzi and Richard H.Thaler, “Myopic Loss Aversion and the Equity Premium Puzzle”,Quarterly Journal of Economics 110, no.1(February 1995): 73-92.

50.Burton G.Malkiel, “The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Critics”,Journal of Economic Perspectives 17, no.1(Winter 2003): 61-62.

第八章 新的更多投资形式

1.Towers Watson and Financial Times, “Global Alternatives Survey 2012”,last modified July 2012, http://www.towerswatson.com/en-US/Insights/IC-Types/Survey-Research-Results/2012/07/Global-Alternatives-Survey-2012, 7-8.

2. Thomas J. Healey and Donald J. Hardy, “Growth in Alternative Investments”,Financial Analysts Journal 53, no. 4 (July–August 1997): 58-59.

3. C . P. Chandrasekhar, “Private Equity: A New Role for Finance?” International Development Economics Associates, last modified May 22,2007,http://www.networkideas.org/featart/may2007/Private_Equity.pdf, 2.

4. Healey and Hardy, “Growth in Alternative Investments”,59.

5. William H. Gross, “The Lending Lindy”,PIMCO, September 2012,http://www. pimco.com/EN/Insights/Pages/The-Lending-Lindy.aspx.

6. U S Securities and Exchange Commission, “Investor Bulletin: Accredited Investors”,accessed 2015, http://www.sec.gov/investor/alerts/ib_accreditedinvestors.pdf, 1.

7. Jesse Hamilton and Margaret Collins, “Hedge Funds Cleared to Advertise under SEC Proposal”,Bloomberg Businessweek, August 29, 2012, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2012-08-28/hedge-fund-marketing-could-begin-new-era-as-sec-set-for-proposal.

8. Michael E. Kitces, “What Makes Something an Alternative Asset Class, Anyway?”Journal of Financial Planning 25, no. 9 (September 2012): 22-23.

9. U S Securities and Exchange Commission, “Hedge Funds”,accessed 2015, http://investor.gov/investing-basics/investment-products/hedgefunds;“How Hedge Funds Are Structured”,Hedge Fund Fundamentals, accessed January 2015, http://www. hedgefundfundamentals.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/HFF_HFStructured_12-2012.pdf, 14.

10. A.W.Jones Advisers, “History of the Firm”,accessed 2014, http://www. awjones.com/historyofthefirm.html; John Russell, “Alfred W. Jones, 88, Sociologist and Investment Fund Innovator”,New York Times, June 3, 1989, http://www.nytimes.com/1989/06/03/obituaries/alfred-w-jones-88-sociologist-and-investment-fund-innovator.html.

11. A. W. Jones Advisers, “History of the Firm”.

12. Carol J. Loomis, “The Jones Nobody Keeps Up With”,Fortune, April 1966, 247.

13. Sebastian Mallaby, “Learning to Love Hedge Funds”,Wall Street Journal, June 11, 2010, http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052748703302604575294983666012928.

14. Mario J. Gabelli, “The History of Hedge Funds—The Millionaire's Club”,Gabelli Funds, last modified October 25, 2000, http://www.gabelli.com/news/mario-hedge_102500.html.

15. Loomis, “Jones Nobody Keeps Up With”,247.

16. Gabelli, “History of Hedge Funds”.

17. Loomis, “Jones Nobody Keeps Up With”,237.

18. Gabelli, “History of Hedge Funds”.

19. Ibid.;David Litterick, “Billionaire Who Broke the Bank of England”,Telegraph, September 13,2002,http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/2773265/Billionaire-who-broke-the-Bank-of-England.html.

20. “Hedge Fund Industry—Assets Under Management: Historical Growth of Assets”,BarclayHedge Alternative Investment Databases, accessed 2014, http://www.barclayhedge.com/research/indices/ghs/mum/Hedge_Fund.html.

21. Ibid.

22. Michael Benhamou, “Betting Against the Street”,Market Watch, June 9, 2005, http://www.marketwatch.com/story/taking-advantage-of-convertible-arbs.

23. Azam Ahmed, “John Paulson's Long, Hot Summer”,Deal Book (blog), New York Times, August 4, 2011, http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/08/04/john-paulsons-long-hot-summer.

24. Landon Thomas Jr., “Too Big to Profit, a Hedge Fund Plans to Get Smaller”,DealBook (blog), New York Times, August 1, 2012, http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/08/01/hedge-fund-titan-plans-to-return-2-billion-to-investors.

25.Robert Mirsky, Anthony Cowell, and Andrew Baker, “The Value of the Hedge Fund Industry to Investors, Markets, and the Broader Economy”,KPMG and Centre for Hedge Fund Research, Imperial College, London, last modified April 2012, http://www.kpmg.com/KY/en/Documents/the-value-of-the-hedge-fund-industry-part-1.pdf, 11.

26. Nicole M. Boyson, “Hedge Fund Performance Persistence: A New Approach”,Financial Analysts Journal 64, no. 6 (November–December 2008): 28-29, 42.

27. Chris Jones, Hedge Funds of Funds: A Guide for Investors (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2007), 1.3 (“What Are Hedge Funds of Funds?”).

28. Ibid.

29. Jones,Hedge Funds of Funds,3.5(“The Downsides of Investing in Hedge Funds”).

30. Ibid., 1.3.

31. Serge Darolles and Mathieu Vaissie, “Do Funds of Hedge Funds Really Add Value? A Post-Crisis Analysis” (working paper, EDHEC-Risk Institute, EDHEC Business School, Lille, France, September 2010), http://www.edhec-risk.com/edhec_publications/all_publications/RISKReview.2010-10-08.0141/attachments/EDHEC_Working_Paper_Do_FoHF_Really_Add_Value_F.pdf, 7-8 and 18.

32. MelvynTeo, “The Liquidity Risk of Liquid Hedge Funds”,Journal of Financial Economics 100, no. 1 (April 2011): 24-26.

33. Keith C. Brown, W. V. Harlow, and Laura T. Starks, “Of Tournaments and Temptations: An Analysis of Managerial Incentives in the Mutual Fund Industry”,Journal of Finance 51, no. 1 (March 1996): 85-90 and 108-109.

34. Ibid., 88-89.

35. Ilia D. Dichev and Gwen Yu, “Higher Risk, Lower Returns: What Hedge Fund Investors Really Earn”,Journal of Financial Economics 100, no. 2 (May 2011): 250 and 261.

36.Daniel A. Wingerd, “The Private Equity Market: History and Prospects”,Investment Policy 1, no. 2 (September–October 1997): 29; “Georges F. Doriot”,Baker Library Historical Collections, Harvard Business School, accessed January 2015, http://www.library.hbs.edu/hc/doriot/innovation-vc/ard.

37. Wingerd, “Private Equity Market”,30-32.

38. Ibid., 32.

39. John Steele Gordon, “A Short (Sometimes Profitable) History of Private Equity”,Wall Street Journal, January 17, 2012, http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/ SB10001424052970 204468004577 166850222785654.

40. Ibid.; Jon Friedman, “‘Barbarians at the Gate’ Authors Reflect”,MarketWatch, November 21, 2008, http://www.marketwatch.com/story/barbarians-at-the-gate-authors-reflect-on-wall-streets-madness.

41. Wingerd, “Private Equity Market”,36-38.

42.Deborah Perry Piscione, Secrets of Silicon Valley: What Everyone Else Can Learn from the Innovation Capital of the World (New York: Palgrave, 2013), 43 and 132-133; National Venture Capital Association and Thomson Reuters, “2012 National Venture Capital Association Yearbook”,last modified 2012, http://www.finansedlainnowacji.pl/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/NVCA-Yearbook-2012.pdf, 13.

43. National Venture Capital Association and Thomson Reuters, “2012 National Venture Capital Association Yearbook”,25 and 119.

44. Preqin, The 2014 Preqin Global Private Equity Report: Sample Pages, accessed 2014, https://www.preqin.com/docs/samples/The_2014_Preqin_Global_Private_Equity_Report_Sample_Pages.pdf, 50.

45. National Venture Capital Association and Thomson Reuters, “2012 National Venture Capital Association Yearbook”,7.

46. Noshua Watson, “REITs Rising”,NYSE Magazine, October 2003, http://www. ventasreit.com/sites/all/themes/ventasreit/images/stories/pdf/news/ventas_reit_spotlight_nov_dec03.pdf, 1.

47.CarlySchulaka, “Advisers Embrace Alternative Investments”,Journal of Financial Planning 24, no. 9 (September 2011): 32.

48. Adam Dunsby and Kurt Nelson, “A Brief History of Commodities Indexes: An Evolution from Passive to Active Indexes”,Journal of Indexes 13, no. 3 (May–June 2010): 37.

49. Kimberly A. Stockton, “Understanding Alternative Investments: The Role of Commodities in a Portfolio”,Vanguard Investment Counseling & Research, Vanguard, last modified 2007, http://www.vanguard.com/pdf/s552.pdf, 1.

50. C hung-Hong Fu, “Timberland Investments: A Primer”,Timberland Investment Resources, last modified June 2012, http://www.tirllc.com/wp-content/themes/tirllc/docs/TIR_A-Primer-2012-06-11-02.pdf, 2.

51. Jim Rinehart, “U.S. Timberland Post-Recession: Is it the Same Asset?”R&A Investment Forestry, last modified April 2010, http://investmentforestry.com/resources/1%20-%20Post-Recession%20Timberland.pdf, 1.

52. Ibid., 12-13.

53. Preqin, “Preqin Investor Outlook: Alternative Investments”,2014, https://www. preqin.com/docs/reports/Preqin-Investor-Outlook-Alternative-Assets-H2-2014.pdf, 4-6.

54. Investment Company Institute, 2013 Investment Company Fact Book, accessed 2014, http://www.ici.org/pdf/2013_factbook.pdf, 36 and 47.

55. Dan Culloton, “A Brief History of Indexing”,Fund Spy (blog), Morningstar, August 9, 2011, http://news.morningstar.com/articlenet/article.aspx?id=390749.

56. John C. Bogle, “The First Index Mutual Fund: A History of Vanguard Index Trust and the Vanguard Index Strategy”,Bogle Financial Markets Research Center, Vanguard, last modified 1997, http://www.vanguard.com/bogle_site/lib/sp19970401.html.

57. Ibid.

58. Ibid.

59. Investment Company Institute, 2013 Investment Company Fact Book, 36 and 47.

60. Ibid., 46-48.

61. Ibid., 46.

62. Ibid., 54.

63. Anthony Cowell et al., “Transformation: The Future of Alternative Investments”,KPMG International and International Fund Investment, last modified June 2010, http://www. kpmg.com/TW/zh/IssuesAndInsights/Documents/FS/KPMG-Transformation.pdf, 39.

第九章 创新与新精英阶层的产生

1. U S Department of Labor, “Frequently Asked Questions about Retirement Plans and ERISA”,accessed 2013, http://www.dol.gov/ebsa/faqs/faq_compliance_pension.html.

2. Gary Furukawa, Randall Buck, and Gary Smart, “Money Manager Interview: Gary Furukawa, Randall Buck & Gary Smart”,Wall Street Transcript, October 25, 2004, https://www. twst.com/interview/19635.

3. Joseph H. Spigelman, “What Basis for Superior Performance?”Financial Analysis Journal 30, no. 3 (May–June 1974): 32.

4. Douglas Appell, “Turning a New Page: Morgan Stanley's Gregory J. Fleming”,Pensions & Investments, March 7, 2011, http:// www.pionline.com/article/201 10307/PRINT/110309949/turning-a-new-page-morgan-stanleys-gregory-j-fleming.

5. David A. Latzko, “Economies of Scale in Mutual Fund Administration”(working paper, York Campus, Pennsylvania State University, York, PA, n.d.), http://www. personal.psu.edu/~dxl31/research/articles/mutual.pdf, 4-5.

6. “US Retirement Assets Hit $18 Trillion Again”,Retirement Income Journal, July 6, 2011, http://retirementincomejournal.com/issue/july-6-2011/article/u-s-retirement-assets-hit-18-trillion-again-ici.

7. Investment Company Institute, “Retirement Assets Total $24.0 Trillion in Second Quarter 2014”,September 25, 2014,http://www.ici.org/research/stats/retirement/ret_14_q2.

8. Investment Company Institute, 2012 Investment Company Fact Book, accessed 2014, http://www.ici.org/pdf/2012_factbook.pdf, 9-11.

9. Burton G. Malkiel, “Asset Management Fees and the Growth of Finance”, Journal of Economic Perspectives 27, no. 2 (Spring 2013): 99.

10. Daniel Golden, “Cash Me If You Can”,Upstart Business Journal, March 18, 2009, http://upstart.bizjournals.com/executives/2009/03/18/David-Swensen-and-the-Yale-Model.html.

11. Oregon State Treasury, “Oregon Investment Council (OIC)”,accessed 2013,http://www. oregon.gov/treasury/Divisions/Investment/Pages/Oregon-Investment-Council-(OIC). aspx.

12. Russell Parker, “Boutique Asset Managers Offer Competitive Advantages”,InvestmentNews, May 30, 2010, http://www.investmentnews.com/article/20100530/REG/305309998/boutique-asset-managers-offer-competitive-advantages.

13. Sonia Kolesnikov-Jessop, “Independent Asset Managers Thrive in Crisis”,New York Times, April 28, 2013, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/29/business/global/29iht-nwindies29.html.

14. “America's Top 300 Money Managers”,Institutional Investor, accessed 2014,http://www.institutionalinvestor.com/Research/4376/Americas-Top-300-Money-Managers.html.

15. Ibid.

16. Ibid.; “Ranking America's Top Money Managers”,Institutional Investor,August 1992, 79-83. Of the top twenty-five money managers in 2013, the following firms were independent: Black Rock, Vanguard Group, Fidelity Investments, Capital Group, Franklin Templeton Investments, Wellington Management Co., Invesco, T. Rowe Price Group, Legg Mason, Ameriprise Financial, and Federated Investors. The independent firms in 1991 were as follows: Fidelity Management & Research; Capital Group; Dreyfus Group; Scudder, Stevens & Clark; Franklin Group; United Asset Management; and Wellington Management Co.

17.“America's Top 300 Money Managers.”

18.“Will Invest for Food”,Economist, May 3, 2014,http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21601500-books-and-music-investment-industry-being-squeezed-will-invest-food.

19.Ibid.

20.“The World's Billionaires”,Forbes, accessed 2014,http://www.forbes.com/billionaires.

21. Simone Foxman, “Ten Hedge Fund Managers Each Make More Money Than the Ten Best-Paid US CEOs Combined”,Quartz, April 15, 2013, http://qz.com/74533/10-hedge-fund-managers-each-make-more-money-than-the-10-best-paid-us-ceos-combined.

22. Robert Lenzner, “The Top 25 Hedge Fund Managers Earn More Than All the 500 Top CEOs Together”,Forbes, August 6, 2013, http://www.forbes.com/sites/robertlenzner/2013/08/06/the-top-25-hedge-fund-managers-earn-more-than-all-the-500-top-ceos-together.

23. Michelle Coffey, “Warren Buffett Made $37 Million a Day in 2013”,Market Watch, December 18, 2013, http://www.marketwatch.com/story/warren-buffett-made-37-million-a-day-in-2013-2013-12-18.

24.Nathan Vardi, “The 40 Highest-Earning Hedge Fund Managers and Traders”,Forbes, February 26, 2013,http://www.forbes.com/sites/nathanvardi/2013/02/26/the-40-highest-earning-hedge-fund-managers-and-traders.

25. Alexandra Stevenson, “Hedge Fund Moguls’ Pay Has the 1% Looking Up”, DealBook (blog), New York Times, May 6, 2014,http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2014/05/06/hedge-fund-moguls-pay-has-the-1-looking-up.

26. Ibid.

27. Joseph Thorndike, “Forget Carried Interest, It's All about Taxing Capital Gains”,Forbes, November 12, 2013,http://www.forbes.com/sites/taxanalysts/2013/11/12/forget-carried-interest-its-all-about-taxing-capital-gains.

28. Julie M. Zauzmer, “Where We Stand: The Class of 2013 Senior Survey”,Harvard Crimson, May 28, 2013, http://www.thecrimson.com/article/2013/5/28/senior-survey-2013.

29. Julie Segal, “Beating the Market Has Become Nearly Impossible”, Institutional Investor, September 18, 2013,http://www.institutionalinvestor.com/Article/3256074/Beating-the-Market-Has-Become-Nearly-Impossible.html.

30.“Down to 1.4 and 17”,Economist, February 8, 2014, http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21595942-cost-investing-alternative-assets-fallingslowly-down-14-and-17.

结论 21世纪的投资

1.Michael S.carliner, “development of Federal Homeownership ‘Policy,’” Housing Policy Debate 9, no.2 (1998): 301.

2. Albert Monroe, “How the Federal Housing Administration A?ects Homeownership” (working paper, department of Economics, Harvard university, cambridge, MA, November 2001), http://www.jchs .harvard.edu/sites/jchs.harvard.edu/?les/monroe_w02-4.pdf, 5-6.

3.Carliner, “development of ‘Policy,’” 308.

4.Ibid., 308-309.

5. GinnieMae.gov, “our History,” Accessed 2015, http://www.ginniemae.gov/inside_gnma/company_ overview/Pages/our_history.aspx.