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第10章
1.Arthur F.Burns and Wesley C.Mitchell,Measuring Business Cycles(Cambridge,MA:National Bureau of Economic Research,1946).
2.Charles D.Kirkpatrick and Julie R.Dahlquist,Technical Analysis(Upper Saddle River,NJ:Pearson Education,2007),161-164.
3.John J.McConnell and Wei Xu,“Equity Returns at the Turn of the Month,”Financial Analysts Journal 64,no.2(March/April 2008):49-64.我的论述是建立在这篇期刊文章内容基础之上的。
4.Ibid.,63.
5.Martin J.Pring,Technical Analysis Explained,4th ed.(New York:McGraw-Hill,2002),388-389.Pring cites the data from D.Klienand and R.Stambaugh,“A Further Investigation of the Weekend Effect in Stock Returns,”Journal of Finance,July 1984,819-837.请注意我们是用金融学,而不是技术杂志上的研究成果来支持一些技术分析理论的。
6.Tim Loughran and Paul Schultz,“Weather,Stock Returns,and the Impact of Localized Trading Behavior,”The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 39,no.2(June 2004):343-364.
7.Kirkpatrick,456.He also cites the work of Al Lieber in the Journal of Clinical Psychology.Leiber,Alan.“Human Aggression and Lunar Synodic Cycle.”Journal of Clinical Psychology 39,no.5(1978):385.当然,还需要其他学科的知识来支持技术分析的观点。
8.Ingo Swann,“Arch Crawford Foresees the Unforeseen on Wall Street,”FATE Magazine 46,no.4,issue 517(April 1993):72-81.
9.Ibid.
10.Martin J.Pring,Technical Analysis Explained,28-32.
11.John J.Murphy,Intermarket Analysis(Hoboken,NJ:John Wiley&Sons,2004),201-213.
12.P.Q.Wall,“Fire or Ice,”Barron's,July 23,2001.
13.David Chapman,“Technical Scoop:A Short Primer on Cycles in the Current Market,”February 13,2004,http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_04/chapmand021604.html(accessed October 5,2011).
14.Charles Mackay,Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds(1841):89.
15.Earl A.Thompson,“The Tulipmania:Fact or Artifact,”Public Choice,June 26,2006.
16.过度自信在很多书中有所阐述。在Hersh Shefrin的书Beyond Greed and Fear(Oxford:Oxford University Press,2002),48-51.着重设计了一系列的问题和市场预测。
17.James Montier,Behavioural Finance,77.Montier is quoting from the work of Gundez Caginalp,David Porter,and Vernon Smith.(2000)“Overreaction,momentum,liquidity and price bubbles in laboratory and field asset markets”.Journal of Psychology and Financial Markets.